Welcome back college football fans & DFS players!! The CFB season continues on with an entertaining Week 7 Saturday slate - and Fantasy Alarm has you covered! This playbook will cover the early afternoon main slate of games while Pete Cole will have the night slate for you! 

Before we dive in, a quick note that we’re only focusing on the DraftKings slate of games for this playbook, but feel free to play on FanDuel with the same players below. If you have any questions on specific players or lineup builds, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @dan_servodidio or on the Discord and I’ll try to help out! Without further ado, let’s dive into the main early afternoon DFS CFB slate for October 16th! 
 

THE SLATE (Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook): 

  • 12 pm ET -- Texas A&M (-8.5) at Missouri -- 59.5 O/U
  • 12 pm ET -- Florida (-11.5) at LSU -- 59.5 O/U
  • 12 pm ET -- Auburn at Arkansas (-5.5) -- 53.5 O/U
  • 12 pm ET -- Oklahoma State at Texas (-4) -- 60.5 O/U
  • 12 pm ET -- UCF at Cincinnati (-21.5) -- 56.5 O/U
  • 12 pm ET -- Michigan State (-4.5) at Indiana -- 48 O/U
  • 12 pm ET -- Nebraska (-4.5) at Minnesota -- 49.5 O/U
  • 3:30 pm ET -- Kentucky at Georgia (-21.5) -- 44.5 O/U
  • 3:30 pm ET -- Miami FL at North Carolina (-7.5) -- 63.5 O/U
  • 3:30 pm ET -- BYU at Baylor (-5.5) -- 51 O/U
  • 3:30 pm ET -- Pittsburgh (-5) at Virginia Tech -- 56 O/U
  • 3:30 pm ET -- Purdue at Iowa (-11.5) -- 43 O/U

 

Implied Team Totals (per DK Sportsbook Odds)

  • Cincinnati -- 39 points vs. UCF
  • North Carolina -- 35.5 points vs. Miami FL
  • Florida -- 35.5 points vs. LSU
  • Texas A&M -- 34 points vs. Missouri
  • Georgia -- 33 points vs. Kentucky
  • Texas -- 32.25 points vs. Oklahoma State
  • Pittsburgh -- 30.5 points vs. Virginia Tech
  • Arkansas -- 29.5 points vs. Auburn
  • Oklahoma State -- 28.25 points vs. Texas
  • Baylor -- 28.25 points vs. BYU
  • Miami FL -- 28 points vs. North Carolina
  • Iowa -- 27.25 points vs. Purdue
  • Nebraska -- 27 points vs. Minnesota
  • Michigan State -- 26.25 points vs. Indiana
  • Virginia Tech -- 25.5 points vs. Pittsburgh
  • Missouri -- 25.5 points vs. Texas A&M
  • Auburn -- 24 points vs. Arkansas
  • LSU -- 24 points vs. Florida
  • BYU -- 22.75 points vs. Baylor
  • Minnesota -- 22.5 points vs. Nebraska
  • Indiana -- 21.75 points vs. Michigan State
  • UCF -- 17.5 points vs. Cincinnati
  • Purdue -- 15.75 points vs. Iowa
  • Kentucky -- 11.5 points vs. Georgia

 

QUARTERBACKS

Quarterbacks
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Sam HowellUNCMIA920033.91  
There aren’t many top-tier QB’s on this slate and it should make Howell popular in cash. UNC is projected to score the second-most points behind Cincinnati and will likely be in a back-and-forth, high-total matchup with Miami. That makes Howell pretty safe in terms of DFS value with how much volume he brings both passing and rushing. Since Week 2, he actually has three 100-yard rushing games over the past five weeks and 28+ DFS points each time. It doesn’t get much safer than Howell against a soft Miami defense in a high-scoring game.
Emory JonesUFLSU830022.93  
You can go in a number of different directions for your QB1 in tournaments, but Jones provides a nice floor/ceiling combo that’s actually a bargain at this price. Florida will be one of the slate’s highest-scoring offenses going against a shaky LSU defense that’s dealing with a ton of injuries. Jones hasn’t been splitting as much time with backup Anthony Richardson lately like he was earlier in the year - which makes him more trustworthy for DFS now. The dual-threat upside is what we love with Jones, who’s rushed for at least 40 yards in every game and usually is good for more than that. Expect him and Florida to have no problem moving the ball vs. LSU.
Desmond RidderCINCYUCF810025.51  
Ridder put up 22 DFS points priced at 9k a week ago and is now significantly cheaper. Yep, expect the Cincy dual-threat to be popular in cash and it’ll be hard to fade him. Ridder has legit 30-40 point upside because of his rushing and potential for multiple scores on the ground - in addition to his regular passing stats. The UCF defense is an easy matchup here and should allow Cincinnati’s offense to score plenty. We don’t really have to worry about the blowout factor either because the Cincy starters play into the fourth quarter to ensure comfortable victories with a Playoff bid on the line.
Adrian MartinezNEBMINN790030.53  
If Nebraska is on the slate, then we always have the decision of whether or not to roster Martinez. What we love about A-Mart for DFS is his rushing ability with 10 rush TD’s already this season while averaging 63 yards on the ground. The passing leaves a lot to be desired, but he usually makes up for it with his legs - even if the fumbles cost Nebraska in real life. He’s put up 27, 35 and 33 DFS points over the last three games largely because of his rushing and could easily find the end zone multiple times again this week. The matchup vs. Minnesota isn’t ideal, though, so limit exposure to GPP’s.
Spencer SandersOKSTUT710020.46  
Sanders’ last game is the perfect example of the good and bad you get with the OK St QB from a DFS or real life perspective. The dual-threat provided a season-high 76 rushing yards and guided his team to a win over Baylor - but he tossed three picks, threw for 182 yards and finished with less than 16 DFS points. Woof! The rushing is what we’ve always loved with Sanders and he has the potential to score multiple times with close to 100 rushing yards in any given game - especially this week vs. a shaky Texas defense. Expect Sanders to be busy as a rusher in what should be a high-scoring, tight matchup here - putting him very much in play for your Super-Flex.
Gerry BohanonBAYBYU630024.81  
Outside of a poor performance vs. Oklahoma State (understandable), Bohanon has looked very comfortable running the Baylor offense this season and it’s made him an interesting DFS option week-to-week. He smashed value last week vs. West Virginia with 39 DK points at $6100, throwing four TDs and running in another. The dual-threat now has six rushing TDs on the year and a perfect 11:0 TD: INT ratio through the air. BYU’s pass defense is one of the weaker ones on this slate and Bohanon could easily go for 25-30 DFS points to return value as a cash Super-Flex.
        

Also Consider: 

  • Kenny Pickett -- Pittsburgh ($8,400) -- Cash/GPP
  • Casey Thompson -- Texas ($7,800) -- Cash
  • KJ Jefferson -- Arkansas ($7,500) -- GPP
  • Payton Thorne -- Michigan State ($7,300) -- GPP/Cash
  • Tyler Van Dyke -- Miami FL ($6,900) -- GPP
  • Braxton Burmeister -- Virginia Tech ($6,300) -- Cash


 

RUNNING BACKS

Running Backs
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Bijan RobinsonUTOKST890030.3  
At this point, it’s no secret that Bijan Robinson is the best DFS RB going and he might even be the best real-life running back in the country. This Texas offense has taken his talent to a whole other level and his recent game logs are no fluke. Robinson has 127 or more rushing yards in four straight games and has 10 total TD’s over six contests - plus he’s being used just enough as a receiver. The GPP ceiling is always there and normally we’d recommend for cash. However, this matchup vs. Oklahoma St is not ideal as it boasts the 12th-best rush D in the country. Yards may be tough to come by, but at least you can bank on heavy volume for Robinson with the possibility he finds the end zone multiple times.
Tyler BadieMIZZTA&M800031.95  
People will likely overlook Badie this week because of Bijan Robinson’s presence on the slate and some cheaper, safer options in the RB pool. Yet, the Mizzou lead back could easily smash as he’s done multiple times this season and he’ll probably come at low rostership percentages. Texas A&M’s rush D presents a tough challenge, but Badie’s role as a pass-catcher out of the backfield should keep his volume safe - even if Missouri is trailing. It’s also hard to ignore his 12 TD’s through six games. If you’re fading Robinson in tournaments, then Badie is the way to go to differentiate.
Jaylen WarrenOKSTUT710023.26  
Behind Missouri, this Texas rush defense is actually the second-best matchup for RB’s on this slate - allowing nearly 200 rushing yards per game and 13 rush TDs over six contests. It sets up well for Jaylen Warren to have a big day on the ground in a likely high-scoring game. Warren has quickly emerged as Oklahoma State’s lead back and he’s seeing a similar workload to what we used to get from Chuba Hubbard in recent seasons. The former Utah State transfer has 30+ touches and 120+ rushing yards in three straight games coming into this week and he’s scored twice in two of those. We know Warren will get the volume and this matchup is a good one after we just saw Texas give up 339 rushing yards to Oklahoma a week ago. He’ll likely be popular in cash.
Isaiah SpillerTA&MMIZZ660019  
We’ve been targeting the Missouri rush defense all year for DFS and it continues this week with Texas A&M’s backfield. Just to reiterate, Mizzou is giving up an FBS-high 288 rushing yards per game with 18 rush TDs allowed over six games. The defense consistently allows opposing lead backs to have 100+ yards (usually more) and a TD or two every week and Spiller should have no problem doing the same. The Aggies’ lead back splits work with Devon Achane, but he still has three 100-yard performances over six games and 95 yards in another. Don’t think twice and lock Spiller into cash at a very affordable price tag.
Zamir WhiteUGAUK620013.28  
Though he's the lead back on a dominant team that plays with big leads every week, White has been tough to trust in DFS this season because he wasn’t getting consistent volume as Georgia used multiple RB's. Lately, though, White is starting to see more carries as the clear lead guy as the ‘Dogs get into the tougher part of the schedule. He’s gotten 16 and 18 carries the last two weeks and found the end zone twice in both games. Though the Kentucky rush defense is a tough matchup, White could see enough volume and score a couple times to again return value. He’s right on the fringe of being cash-viable, but the GPP ceiling is there for 20+ DFS points.
Tank BigsbyAUBARK580016.02  
Though the recent volume isn’t ideal - 19 total carries over the past two games combined - Bigsby has a ton of upside because of his pure talent and decent matchup here. Arkansas’ rush D is allowing 181 rushing yards per game and it’s given up 14 rush TDs over six games. With Auburn QB Bo Nix being a bit inconsistent this season, we could see the offense lean on Bigsby and the run game this week. The future NFL talent isn’t that far removed from reeling off three straight 100-yard games to open the season - one of which came against Penn State. He’s firmly in play for GPP lineups but hard to trust in cash.
Devon AchaneTA&MMIZZ510015.55  
We mentioned above with Spiller how bad the Missouri rush defense is, and we can also use Achane to target against it. Achane plays second-fiddle to Spiller in the Texas A&M backfield but we’ve seen multiple RB’s from the same team have good games vs. Missouri because of how much yardage they give up. Though Achane doesn’t usually see double-digit carries in this offense, his floor is actually pretty solid with his receiving out of the backfield. He has 17 catches for 163 yards over the last five games and is averaging 6.6 ypc on his 50 rush attempts thus far. Plus, Achane brings some upside in the return game as we saw him rip off a kickoff return TD vs. Alabama. He’s perfectly fine in cash and you can easily roll out Achane and Spiller in the same lineup to stack the best RB matchup on the slate.
Mar'Keise IrvingMINNNEB39003.12  
In case you missed the news, Minnesota lead back Trey Potts is now out for the season - presumably making Irving the next man up. This Golden Gophers offense has become known for leaning heavily on one RB and feeding carries to a bellcow. First it was Mo Ibrahim, then it was Potts - both of which were DFS studs because of the volume and run-heavy offense around them. We assume it’ll be Irving stepping into the lead role with Potts out, but there’s a chance it’s more of a committee. Still, this price tag is impossible to ignore for a guy who could easily see 20+ touches and smash value - and he’ll likely be popular in all formats. Irving only has 25 carries for 112 yards this season - though he did have an impressive Week 3 performance in mop-up duty vs. Colorado when he had 89 yards on 15 carries. At least there’s some evidence the freshman can handle a workload.

Also Consider: 

  • Jerome Ford -- Cincinnati ($7,200) -- Cash
  • Kenneth Walker III -- Michigan State ($6,700) -- GPP
  • Tyler Goodson -- Iowa ($6,500) -- GPP
  • Cam’Ron Harris -- Miami FL ($6,400) -- Cash
  • Ty Chandler -- North Carolina ($6,300) -- GPP
  • Abram Smith -- Baylor ($6,100) -- Cash
  • Rahmir Johnson -- Nebraska ($5,500) -- GPP
  • Malik Davis -- Florida ($5,400) -- GPP

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

Wide Receivers
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Josh DownsUNCMIA870029.85  
After UNC lost so much offensive talent to the NFL - including WRs Dazz Newsome and Dyami Brown - it’s Josh Downs who’s now locked in as Sam Howell’s top receiver and he’s been a DFS stud all season. Downs has now recorded at least eight catches and a TD in every game thus far and he’s yet to finish with less than 19 DFS points in a game. Over the last two games, specifically, he’s totaled 17 receptions for 289 yards and two scores. Against a shaky Miami pass D and secondary, we can basically lock in Downs to another big-time performance in a high-scoring game. If you have room for him in cash, Downs is the clear top WR on this slate no matter how expensive he may seem.
Jordan AddisonPITTVT800028.98  
The Pitt offense may get overlooked on this slate - maybe because people are waiting for the slipper to fall off or there’s more affordable options. Addison, though, continues to produce and deserves to be priced up this high. The expensive tag may have people looking elsewhere yet again - making him a great GPP play this week. The Virginia Tech pass defense is the toughest that Pitt has faced thus far, so temper expectations a bit. Still, he’s scored in every game already - with nine TDs over five games - and has at least six catches for 100+ yards in three straight.
Xavier WorthyUTOKST740019.97  
Well, we told you to play Worthy last week when he was wrongly priced down to 5k. What did he do? Oh, just go bonkers with a slate-breaking 49.8 DK points on 261 yards and two scores. Just like that, Worthy is back up at $7400 where he belongs and will likely stay the rest of season. It’s more than clear that Worthy is a top playmaker in the Texas offense outside of Bijan Robinson and they’ll continue to get the ball in the true freshman’s hands as much as possible. He’s built a solid rapport with Casey Thompson and should see plenty of targets weekly. The OK St defense is better against the run than the pass, so expect the Longhorns to go to the air more often than not and feed Worthy. He’s right on the edge of being cash-viable, but the GPP ceiling is definitely there as we saw last week.
Charleston RamboMIAUNC610016.64  
While most will flock to the UNC side of this game, the Miami offense could be a sneaky target in a likely high-scoring ACC shootout. The UNC defense has given up at least 35 points in three of the last four weeks and Miami has the athletes to keep pace - even if D’Eriq King is now out for the season. There’s really only two ‘Canes receivers we want and it comes down to Mike Harley vs. Charleston Rambo. The latter is slightly better for the savings but both could pop off for 100+ and a TD in this matchup. It was encouraging to see Rambo have five catches for 99 yards last week with new starter Tyler Van Dyke under center.
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Jack BechLSUUF55009.2  
With Kayshon Boutte now out for the season, we should start to see Bech involved more consistently as one of the only proven LSU receivers. The freshman’s 22 receptions and 272 yards now lead the team with Boutte out and he’s totaled at least four catches in three of the last five games. He’s built a clear rapport with QB Max Johnson and Bech should see a healthy amount of targets - starting this week with LSU likely trailing Florida for most of the game. In a perfect world his price would be cheaper, but we’re probably looking at a safe floor for cash.
Tyquan ThorntonBAYBYU520018.22  
The low total in the Baylor-BYU game could have people looking elsewhere, but Thornton has a proven floor and is too cheap. All he did a week ago was go off for 41 DK points with his eight receptions, 187 yards and two TDs - and yet he’s still barely above 5k. Though the Baylor offense is usually run-heavy, BYU’s pesky run defense could force it to the air more often. It’s R.J. Sneed and Thornton as the two trustworthy targets for QB Gerry Bohanon right now and Thornton is the guy who leads the team in receptions, yards and receiving TDs this season - not to mention at least three catches in every game so far.
Keke ChismMIZZTA&M50009.97  
We usually don’t look at Mizzou’s passing game as a target for DFS, but Chism is very affordable for being the offense’s top receiver in a likely high-scoring matchup. Chism provides a decent floor with at least four catches in five of six games this season - though he only has one TD thus far. He’ll be even more important this week, though, with Mookie Cooper possibly out with injury and Missouri likely trailing Texas A&M at times.
Joshua MooreUTOKST48008.12  
While Xavier Worthy is the headliner in Texas’ receiving corps, Moore is still hanging around and he’ll be more relevant moving forward. Joshua Whittington’s season-ending injury opens up some receiving production in this offense and Moore will likely start getting more targets as the second-favorite option behind Worthy. He went for 23 DFS points in last week’s shootout with two TDs - which is encouraging to see going into this week. Moore won’t be the this cheap rest of season and he’s a massive bargain at sub 5k.
Ladd McConkeyUGAUK360011.23  
Outside of Zamir White and Brock Bowers, it’s been tough to trust any UGA player from a DFS perspective - and even those guys aren’t consistent enough. One Bulldogs receiver who’s flashed recently is McConkey, who caught a long TD with 135 yards and five catches last week. This is now three straight games where McConkey had at least three receptions - and he also had two TDs vs. Vandy back in Week 4. It seems like he’ll be a favorite target for Stetson Bennett as long as he's under center with JT Daniels out. McConkey is worth a shot in GPP’s as he could easily smash value like he’s done in two of the past three.
Malik NabersLSUUF30005.9  
The Kayshon Boutte injury will now open up a ton of targets in the LSU passing game - but it’s hard to get an idea where those pass attempts will go outside of Jack Bech. One name to look at is Malik Nabers at min price. The freshman has been quiet for much of this season while battling a shoulder injury - but he flashed last week when he caught a TD and had three catches for 66 yards. Nabers received some fall camp hype and could end up being a favorite target for QB Max Johnson in the second half of this season if he stays healthy. It’s purely a dart throw, but Nabers does have five catches and 96 yards over the past two games combined. All we need is a few grabs to return value at min price.
Kamari MoralesUNCMIA300010.92  
Outside of Josh Downs, the UNC passing game spreads the ball around too much to trust any other Tar Heel receiver for cash. Morales, though, is definitely someone to consider at min price with a proven track record recently. The tight end has caught a TD in four straight games - which is three more than any other UNC pass-catcher - and trails only Downs’ seven TDs. Plus, Morales’ 16 receptions is second on the team behind Downs right now. There’s no reason for Morales to be priced this low considering his recent production. He’s perfectly fine in cash to get some cheap exposure to the UNC offense.

Also Consider: 

  • Tay Martin -- Oklahoma State ($7,700) -- Cash/GPP
  • Alec Pierce -- Cincinnati ($6,800) -- GPP
  • Treylon Burks -- Arkansas ($6,600) -- Cash/GPP
  • Mike Harley -- Miami FL ($6,500) -- Cash/GPP
  • Jayden Reed -- Michigan State ($6,300) -- GPP
  • Tayvion Robinson -- Virginia Tech ($6,000) -- GPP
  • R.J. Sneed -- Baylor ($5,200) -- Cash
  • Tre Turner -- Virginia Tech ($5,000) -- Cash
  • Ainias Smith -- Texas A&M ($4,400) -- GPP
  • Tauskie Dove -- Missouri ($4,000) -- Cash
  • Trey Knox -- Arkansas ($3,000) -- Cash/GPP

 

EXAMPLE LINEUPS

DK Cash
Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary
QBSam HowellUNDMIA33.9$9,200
Pivot     
RBJaylen WarrenOKSTUT23.3$7,100
Pivot     
RBIsaiah SpillerTA&MMIZZ19$6,600
Pivot     
WRJoshua MooreUTOKST8.1$4,800
Pivot     
WRKeke ChismMIZZTA&M10$5,000
PivotCharleston RamboMIAUNC16.6$6,100
WRTyquan ThorntonBAYBYU18.2$5,200
Pivot     
FLEXMar'Kiese IrvingMINNNEB3.1$3,900
Pivot     
S-FLEXDesmond RidderCINCYUCF25.5$8,100
PivotSpencer SandersOKSTUT20.5$7,100
      
DK GPP
Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary
QBEmory JonesUFLSU22.9$8,300
Pivot     
RBBijan RobinsonUTOKST30.3$8,900
Pivot     
RBTank BigsbyAUBARK16$5,800
Pivot     
WRJordan AddisonPITTVT29$8,000
Pivot     
WRMalik NabersLSUUF5.9$3,000
Pivot     
WRKamari MoralesUNCMIA10.9$3,000
PivotLadd McConkeyUGAUK11.2$3,600
FLEXDevon AchaneTA&MMIZZ15.6$5,100
PivotTayvion RobinsonVTPITT12.3$6,000
S-FLEXAdrian MartinezNEBMINN30.5$7,900
PivotGerry BohanonBAYBYU24.80$6,300