(+125) Liiv SANDBOX v T1 Esports (-165)

(+165) Kwangdong Freecs v DRX (-220)

(+110) Anyone’s Legend v Weibo Gaming (-145)

(-105) Invictus Gaming v Royal Never Give Up (-125)

(-210) Victory Five v TOP Esports (+160)

A much closer set of matches on hand for Sunday. Vegas setting the lines extremely close, especially for LPL standards which can see lines in the thousands. I can see of these matchups possibly going to the dogs, the top teams could easily make more noise by putting on a solid performance. Organizations are trying to settle into their own identities and get a feel for the competition moving forward. A lot to break down and never enough time! Let’s dive in!

Series #1: Liiv SANDBOX v T1 Esports 

Cann’s Pick: T1 Esports (2-1) 

Series #2: Kwangdong Freecs v DRX

Cann’s Pick: DRX (2-0)

Series #3: Anyone’s Legend v Weibo Gaming

Cann’s Pick: Weibo Gaming (2-1)

Series #4:  Invictus Gaming v Royal Never Give Up

Cann’s Pick: Royal Never Give Up (2-0)

Series #5: Victory Five v TOP Esports

Cann’s Pick: Victory Five (2-1)

 

Fantasy Value Breakdown

Captain

Favorite: Gala (RNG: $11,400) Through 11 games played GALA is sitting at the third most kills among ADCs in the LPL at 49 and is averaging just over one death per game played. RNG is sitting at 3-1 mostly in part of the bottom lane play they are getting out of GALA and Ming. RNG focuses more on the late game teamfighting and limits mistakes early. This leads to the big team kill participation rate of 70% for GALA and a kill share rate of 30+%. Love this pick and love the price even more. 

Value Pick: Rookie (V5: $10,200) 


Top 

Favorite: TheShy (WBG: $6,800) While on IG, TheShy lost a lot of the shine that made him the dominant laner that he had become known for while IG went on their World Championship run. It appears that the new surroundings is possibly what he needs. Now his stats aren’t off the charts yet (13 kills and 39 assists) but WBG have a great line of strategy attacking the top lane of AL on Sunday. Zdz (AL’s top laner) is in the top five of all top laners in number of deaths (33) which comes from him being over aggressive both in lane and in team fights. TheShy can add quite a few kills and assists to his totals tomorrow. 

Value Pick: Zeus (T1: $6,600) 


Jungle

Favorite: Oner (T1: $7,200) When judging junglers, it is my habit to start by looking at their team kill participation rate and then look at their raw kills and assists. Oner is over 75% tema kill participation (T-3rd best among LCK junglers) and has 24 kills to his name in 7 games. He is aggressive and looks to get his laners ahead early, even dropping a very risky level 2 gank from time to time. He is part of 86% of all T1 first blood kills which is great for your stat sheet and ensuring he is maximizing the points he is picking up for you. 

Value Pick: Xiaopeng (TES: $6,800) 


Mid

Favorite: Xiaohu (RNG: $7,400) I knew Xiaohu was a top laner previously but I had a lot of questions when RNG chose to move him at the beginning of 2022. What we have all seen is that he is quickly joining the discussions of who is the best LPL mid laner in 2022. He has 49 kills and 67 assists in 11 games played all while averaging less that two deaths per game. He is in the top five for LPL mid laners in his farming numbers (9.0 CSPM) and gets out to HUGE leads early on his lane opponents.  

Value Pick: Forge (AL: $6,400) 

 

ADC

Favorite: huanfeng (WBG: $8,000) I am pretty hesitant to lock in huanfeng in at $8,000. This is a huge pricetag for a guy averaging a 4.4 KDA and has 14 deaths in 8 games played. What makes me interested in this pick is there are serious questions surrounding AL and their ability to play a complete game. WBG has more firepower across the lineup and that should prove the difference here. In most cases, huanfeng has done a good job keeping the boat afloat and responding to teamfights well to pick up the bulk of his points. 

Value Pick: JackeyLove (TES: $7,400) 


Support

Favorite: Ming (RNG: $5,800) Ming hits two different checkmarks for me. First, he is sub $6,000 which means there is less risk in the pick and we can maximize our spending elsewhere. Secondly he maximizes his deaths into kills for his team. He is at a 70% team kill participation and he is one of four supports in the LPL with 100+ assists. Look for Ming and GALA to explode in this matchup.

Value Pick: Ppgod (V5: $5,000) 


Team

Favorite: Weibo Gaming ($5,600) My pick here is more about how much I do not trust Weibo Gaming’s opponent Anyone’s Legend. AL has 70 more deaths, almost 10% less share of the gold in the games they have played, and control the baron at a rate that is  almost 25% less than WBG is at. AL has some flashy players but they lack the in game discipline and that should open the door for some good team points here. 

Value Pick: Victory Five ($4,400)

 

Cann’s Example Lineup

DraftKings Classic 

$50,000 Salary Cap


 

Captain (x1.5): GALA (RNG: $11,400)

Alternate: JackeyLove (TES: $11,100)

Top:  bin (RNG: $6,400)

Jungle:  Oner (T1: $7,200)

Alternate: Karsa (V5: $6,400)

Mid:  Xiaohu (RNG: $7,400)

ADC: Gumayusi (T1: $7,800)

Alternate:  Betty (AL: $7,000)

Support: Ppgod (V5: $5,000)

Team: Victory Five ($4,400)

Alternate: LSB ($3,600)