Top Stacks
- Toronto vs. John Gant
- San Francisco vs. Jon Gray
- Chicago (AL) vs. Eli Morgan
Core Plays
Pitching
Corbin Burnes vs. NYM - Look, Burnes has as much upside as everyone else on the slate. Probably more. He’s notched double-digit strikeouts in two straight outings and has seven or more in four straight outings. The Mets offense has been better lately, but they’re striking out over 23% of the time over the past month. Burnes has faced the Mets once this year and had eight strikeouts over 5.2 IP while allowing just one run. Very safe plate on this slate.
Clayton Kershaw vs. ARI - It clearly doesn’t matter how many pitches Clayton Kershaw throws because he’ll just dominate regardless. He threw five innings, allowing just one run while striking out eight in just 74 pitches. That pitch count jumped from 50 to 74, which means he could close in on 90 here, which means sky’s the limit again. Arizona is 28th in OPS over the last 30 days. Kershaw is viable in all formats.
Erick Fedde vs. CIN - On the outside looking in, this is a tough match-up for Fedde but he and the Reds are going in opposite directions. Fedde has pitched very well lately while the Reds offense has struggled. The Reds rank 24th in OPS and 26th in wOBA over the last 30 days, which isn’t great. Fedde has been missing bats at a solid rate recently, notching five or more in three straight starts and five or more in five of his last six outings. He’ll be low-owned in this spot. Perfect for GPPs.
Tyler Anderson vs. LAA - This is quite a good spot for Anderson as the Angels have been dreadful over the past month offensively. They’re 29th in OPS and wOBA over the last 30 days. Anderson is coming off one of his best starts of the year twirling seven innings of one run ball while striking out seven. Anderson has a nice floor notching 10+ DKP in eight of his last nine starts and we also saw the upside last time out to boot.
Hitting
Juan Soto @ CIN - This guy is just, wow. Over his last 10 games, Soto is slashing .531/.673/1.000 with 12 R, seven extra-base hits (4 HR), 9 RBI and a 16:2 BB:K ratio. Lefty power has given Vlad Gutierrez issues this year, as he’s allowed an .830 OPS and .351 wOBA to them this year. Soto has incredible numbers against righties this year, notching a .460 wOBA. Yes, a real number.
Luis Robert @ CLE - Sure Eli Morgan is coming off a great start, but the one prior is why we cannot trust him at ALL. He has a 5.68 ERA for a reason this season. Righties have gotten to him, allowing an .850 OPS and .361 wOBA against them. On the flipside of things, Robert is rolling, hitting .410 with an OPS of 1.183 over his last 10 games. Robert’s homered in two straight games and has a 13-game hitting streak going on. Robert is hitting .344 with a .387 wOBA against RHP himself.
Marcus Semien @ MIN - I love the Jays heading to Minnesota in this match-up against John Gant. Semien homered on Friday and now has 42 on the year. 32 of them have come against right-handed pitching. The Jays have one of the highest implied totals on the board at five runs and Semien is a BIG reason as to why.
Tommy La Stella @ COL - Well first and foremost, yes, this game is played in Coors. Secondly, he’s too cheap in Coors and looks really sharp in the box right now. He’s hit two homers over his last four games and has a .930 OPS over his last 10 contests. He’ll maximize his at-bats as he likely hits leadoff here. He has an .866 OPS as a leadoff hitter this year, his best mark in any spot in the lineup.
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