Top Tier

Zack Wheeler vs. ATL

This isn’t a walk in the park, but Wheeler is coming into this game shutting down all offenses he faces. He’s notched four straight starts of one earned run or fewer, allowing just three earned over his last four starts combined. He’s also struck out at least six batters in each of his last four starts as well. He’s owned the Braves this year. He’s made four starts against them and has pitched to a 1.35 ERA and has a 34:6: K:BB ratio in 26.2 IP. Wheeler is the top priced arm on this slate for a reason.

Chris Sale vs. BAL

Sale has already beaten the Orioles twice across two starts against them this year and it’ll likely be three after Tuesday. Sale comes in pitching very well in his last two starts, failing to allow more than two earned runs in either start while posting eight strikeouts in his last outing. The Orioles do have some success against left-handed hurlers this year, just not against Sale. During September, the Orioles have notched a 25.7% K-rate, which is the fourth highest mark in the league. This could be a ceiling game for Sale who needs to pitch well to keep the Red Sox on the path to the playoffs.

Mid Tier

Logan Webb vs. ARI

It’s an advantageous spot for Webb to be pitching at home against a bad Diamondbacks offense. Arizona hasn’t exactly had an inspiring finish to the year offensively as they rank 27th in OPS and wOBA in September. They’ve also struck out 23% of the time this month, which bodes well for Webb. Webb has been dynamite at home pitching to a 1.76 ERA and holding his opponents to a .208 BAA. He also happens to have a 30.8% K-rate at home compared to a 22.8% mark on the road. No surprise to see Arizona rank 26th in OPS on the road either considering their home ballpark is a hitters paradise. Webb’s one of the safer pitchers of the slate.

Value Tier

Tyler Alexander vs. MIN

There is a lot of great value on tonight’s slate, but Alexander could be one of the better options there are. Alexander has worked his pitch count all the way up to 91 as of his last outing, so you know he’s good to get in a full workload here. The Twins offense is very weak and have struggled all month. They’ve been bottom-10 in OPS and wOBA during that span and sport a 24.7% K-rate. Alexander has pitched well recently notching a 3.30 ERA over his last 10 games, which happens to be eight starts.