Extra Salt (World rank: #26) vs. Sprout (World rank: #53) - 10:45 A.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: Extra Salt (-130) | Sprout (+105)
Map Handicap: Extra Salt -1.5 (+205) | Sprout +1.5 (-260)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (+105) | Under 2.5 (-130)
- This is a best-of-three series for the upper bracket round of 16 for the ESL Pro League Season 15 Conference
- Extra Salt - Rating past three months: oSee 1.30 | floppy 1.17 | MarkE 1.15 | FaNg 1.11 | JT 1.10
- Sprout - Rating past three months: KEi 1.19 | faveN 1.18 | -slaxz 1.12 | raalz 1.05 | Spiidi 1.04
H2H Data:
- These rosters have never faced each other.
Map Projections:
Extra Salt removes Dust2
Sprout removes Nuke
Extra Salt picks Overpass
Sprout picks Vertigo
Extra Salt removes Ancient
Sprout removes Mirage
Inferno is left over.
Prediction/Narrative: Extra Salt wins 2-1.
It’s difficult to get a read on either of these teams since they both have recently made roster changes, and we haven’t seen either of them face meaningful competition with their new lineup. Extra Salt added floppy at the end of October and have been rolling since with a 19-4 W/L record across 23 maps played. They just finished in second place to Party Astronauts at iBUYPOWER Mythic Masters Winter 2021, but we know that North American competition is not exactly the strongest in the world. As a former Cloud9 member, floppy does have chemistry from the past with the core members of Extra Salt. On the other side is Sprout, who signed KEi on October 31st and he has had success within this lineup with a 14-2 W/L record across 16 maps played. They haven’t played anyone notable yet, and their recent success against other German rosters came as expected. Sprout also signed raalz just a couple of months prior, so there have been a lot of moving parts for them. I think that Extra Salt is the better team at the moment, but there is certainly a tremendous amount of firepower on Sprout, so this is not a lock for either side.
Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority):
oSee ($8,800) | FaNg ($6,200) | faveN ($7,400) | floppy ($7,600) | KEi ($8,200) | MarkE ($7,400) | raalz ($5,800)
GODSENT (World rank: #23) vs. Wisla Krakow (World rank: #60) - 10:45 A.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: GODSENT (-190) | Wisla Krakow (+155)
Map Handicap: GODSENT -1.5 (+150) | Wisla Krakow +1.5 (-185)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (+115) | Under 2.5 (-140)
- This is a best-of-three series for the upper bracket round of 16 for the ESL Pro League Season 15 Conference
- GODSENT - Rating past three months: felps 1.20 | dumau 1.13 | latto 1.09 | b4rtiN 1.06 | TACO 0.94
- Wisla Krakow - Rating past three months: jedqr 1.12 | Goofy 1.10 | Markos 1.01 | phr 1.00 | SZPERO 0.96
H2H Data:
- These rosters have never faced each other. The teams last faced in March, but that was prior to Wisla Krakow adding Markos and phr to their roster, plus it was early days for this GODSENT roster, so the 2-0 win for Wisla Krakow seems fairly irrelevant.
Map Projections:
GODSENT removes Mirage
Wisla Krakow removes Vertigo
GODSENT picks Nuke
Wisla Krakow picks Ancient
GODSENT removes Dust2
Wisla Krakow removes Inferno
Overpass is left over
Prediction/Narrative: Wisla Krakow wins 2-1.
Wisla Krakow added phr in August after adding Markos during the summer, and they have had mixed results to this point with a 39-47 W/L record across 86 maps played. They just lost their most recent series played against Fiend, but Fiend have been in excellent form and Wisla Krakow managed to win a map and keep the other two close. We’ve seen them lose to some weak teams, but they typically seem to show up in big spots, and I think they are capable of competing with GODSENT here. As for the Brazilians, their record in the past month is only 4-9 across 13 maps played as they have faced some solid competition during that time. They weren’t able to win a map at the Major back in October, and they have lost their last four maps played. I think this match-up should be much closer than the odds project, so I would rather target the value on Wisla Krakow for betting/DFS.
Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority):
Markos ($6,600) | Goofy ($7,200) | jedqr ($7,800) | felps ($9,000) | latto ($7,200) | dumau ($8,000)
Eternal Fire (World rank: #33) vs. Endpoint (World rank: #68) - 2:00 P.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: Eternal Fire (-450) | Endpoint (+335)
Map Handicap: Eternal Fire -1.5 (-125) | Endpoint +1.5 (Even)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (+145) | Under 2.5 (-175)
- This is a best-of-three series for the upper bracket round of 16 for the ESL Pro League Season 15 Conference
- Eternal Fire - Rating past three months: XANTARES 1.24 | woxic 1.09 | imoRR 1.04 | xfl0ud 1.03 | Calyx 0.98
- Endpoint - Rating past three months: BOROS 1.09 | CRUC1AL 1.07 | Surreal 1.02 | MiGHTYMAX 0.94 | Nertz 0.85
H2H Data:
- These rosters have never faced each other.
Map Projections:
Eternal Fire removes Ancient
Endpoint removes Nuke
Eternal Fire picks Vertigo
Endpoint picks Inferno
Eternal Fire removes Mirage
Endpoint removes Dust2
Overpass is left over.
Prediction/Narrative: Eternal Fire wins 2-0.
Eternal Fire have looked good recently with wins against solid teams such as Entropiq and Virtus.pro. They brought xfl0ud into the team in October and they have won 21 of their 33 maps played with this lineup. Xfl0ud has been the lowest rated player for his team during that stretch, but he has done well in support of the team’s star players. On the other side, Endpoint just signed Nertz and this will be their first event played with him in the lineup since Thomas was benched. It is difficult to feel comfortable backing Endpoint since this is a new roster that just brought BOROS in only a few months ago, meanwhile Eternal Fire seem to be hitting their stride. I think that the odds are a bit steep for Eternal Fire moneyline since Endpoint are definitely capable of winning some rounds, but I highly doubt that Endpoint could win out in a best-of-three given the strength of Eternal Fire’s map pool. Their current lineup has a 6-1 W/L record on Vertigo, a 5-1 W/L record on Mirage and a 2-0 W/L record on Dust2. I do expect Endpoint to pick Inferno, and Eternal Fire just got smoked by Fnatic on that map last week, but Fnatic are cracked on Inferno, and Eternal Fire just recently had a three map win streak with wins against Enterprise, Virtus.pro and ECSTATIC (formerly Lyngby Vikings). Woxic has the best K/D ratio on his team on Inferno at 1.05, and I like his upside a lot on that map since he’s either fragging with the AWP or saving. Xfl0ud is a standout player on Inferno with a 1.31 Rating across seven maps played, which ties him with XANTARES at the top of his team. I’m not focused on playing anybody on Endpoint on this slate, but CRUC1AL would be my favorite option, and Nertz would also be an interesting punt play that could really pay off at his salary.
Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority):
woxic ($8,600) | XANTARES ($9,800) | xfl0ud ($6,800) | imoRR ($7,800) | Calyx ($6,000)
Movistar Riders (World rank: #17) vs. RBG (World rank: #59) - 2:00 P.M. ET
Moneyline Odds: Movistar Riders (-1175) | RBG (+730)
Map Handicap: Movistar Riders -1.5 (-240) | RBG +1.5 (+195)
Map Total: Over 2.5 (+230) | Under 2.5 (-290)
- This is a best-of-three series for the upper bracket round of 16 for the ESL Pro League Season 15 Conference
- Movistar Riders - Rating past three months: SunPayus 1.18 | mopoz 1.11 | alex 1.09 | DeathZz 1.03 | dav1g 0.88
- RBG - Rating past three months: HexT 1.12 | chop 1.06 | wiz 1.05 | Walco 1.04 | jitter 1.02
H2H Data:
- These rosters have never faced each other.
Map Projections:
Movistar Riders removes Dust2
RBG removes Ancient
Movistar Riders picks Nuke
RBG picks Overpass
Movistar Riders removes Mirage
RBG removes Vertigo
Inferno is left over.
Prediction/Narrative: Movistar Riders win 2-0.
RBG have some decent stats, but we have to consider the weak North American competition that they have faced. They added jitter to their lineup in August and have won 34 of their 63 maps played with this lineup. RBG have some strong maps, like Inferno where they have an 11-2 W/L record, as well as Overpass where they have a 10-2 W/L record. I do even think that there is a possibility that both maps could make it into the pool. Still, even best case scenario for RBG looks bleak. Movistar Riders have dominant maps of their own with a 15-8 W/L record on Vertigo, 16-5 W/L record on Nuke and 12-3 W/L record on Inferno with this lineup. The European teams that Movistar Riders have faced are typically a lot stronger than the North American teams that RBG faced, plus Movistar Riders have some impressive wins like their excellent showing at IEM Fall in October which included victories over G2 and Copenhagen Flames. I expect to see RBG get outclassed here, so Movistar Riders should be the clear priority. I expect RBG to pick Overpass, and SunPayus leads his team with a 1.21 Rating on that map across eight maps played. DeathZz is also a standout player on that map with a 1.11 Rating during that time. SunPayus also leads Movistar Riders on Nuke with a 1.23 Rating across 20 maps played, so I love playing him if you can find the salary. If I was taking a shot on somebody on RBG, it would probably be wiz at $5,200, but I highly doubt that anybody on RBG performs well here.
Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority):
SunPayus ($10,400) | alex ($8,400) | DeathZz ($7,600) | mopoz ($9,400)