Welcome to the DFS Playbook for NFL Week 14!
Are you ready to get back at it, #FANation? Last week was an absolute smash week for us, but as you saw by the overall pay-lines, it was a big week all around and we weren't the only ones smashing. That's what happens when all the chalk hits. We had our advantage as most, if not all, of our bargain plays hit as well, but it wasn't an easy feat as our competitors, most notably the lineup trains, were right there in contention until our late-game bargains like Van Jefferson and Elijah Mitchell hit.
This week, it's not going to be so easy for the lineup trains as a ton of chalk is already off the board. Jonathan Taylor, the Colts and three other teams are on a bye, we've lost players like Justin Jefferson, Diontae Johnson and Dalvin Cook to Thursday's game, we've got no Packers to use because they're on Sunday night and then how about all the Rams and Cardinals we don't get. Believe it or not, not having this many chalky players on the slate is going to help us. It benefits those who understand the game, do the proper match-up research and focus on proper lineup construction. The pay-lines shouldn't be as high this week and we should have little to no trouble pushing ahead of them, so let's get at it!
Before we get to the Playbook players, allow me to remind you what you should be doing leading up this step in your research.
Step 1: Check out the DFS Position Coaches
Step 2: Check out the rest of the relevant DFS content
In addition to the positional coaching pieces, you also have things like the DFS Watch List, where I provide you with a list of players I am looking at throughout the week. We have the NFL DFS Podcast with me and Jon Impemba, who also does the Contrarian Corner video and check out the DFS Bargains from our newest #FAmily member Tera Roberts (@ItsTeraTime).
Also, our Master of Tools, Matt Selz (@theselzman), supplies you data junkies with the Weekly Match-Up Report and everyone should also be checking out the WR/CB Match-Up Report from Ryan Hallam (@fightingchance).
Step 3: Make your own list of players
It's real easy to just sit and wait for the Playbook, but as you are doing your research throughout the week, it is important to make notes and list the players who interest you the most. Maybe they end up in the Playbook and maybe they don't. If they're there, then great, it should mean we are honing in on the same things that make him a strong play. If not, maybe you're onto something else that someone overlooked. We aren't perfect and if you uncover something different, maybe you're right. I would be careful of routine groupthink and hype from beat writers, but often times someone will tell me something they saw about their local team that I missed and I am always looking to investigate more if its there. If you do, then say something in our Fantasy Alarm Discord Chat,. Talk it out and see what the rest of the #FAmily thinks. That's why the chat is there, isn't it?
With those three steps complete and discussions are in progress, you are ready to look at the Playbook players, make comparisons and finalize your list for lineups, so let's get to it.
How about one final step before we actually begin?
CHECK FOR LATE CHANGES TO THE PLAYBOOK
Every now and again, we throw in a late add to the Playbook. More often than not, a late add is done for cash game play as we are seeing higher-than-expected ownership on a bargain player. These can, often times, become a “free square." If the ownership is high, it won't matter if the players succeeds or not. It's about keeping pace with the masses and watching out for lineup trains. We won't recommend if we don't believe in the player, so if you see one, understand the major reasoning behind it.