Sunday brings the Advent Health 400 and the first trip to Kansas Speedway for the season. This is always one of the driver’s favorite tracks because it generally puts the racing in their hands. That’s opposed to track position and pit strategy of course. As stated in the Track Breakdown, it’s a track where multiple racing grooves can have success throughout the race. That produces great racing, and great conditions for DFS. Speaking of DFS, let’s take a look at the strategy we can use on DraftKings and FanDuel.
NASCAR DFS Strategy
With intermediate races, like this one, come the hunting for laps led. That’s typical for this style of track. What’s not typical for here though, is the passing that happens. On average, there are nearly 12 drivers a race in the last five races here to move up at least six spots. What’s more? On average there have been seven drivers to post double-digit Position Differential in that same span. Typically we don’t think of 1.5-mile tracks as producing good conditions for passing, but Kansas isn’t your typical mile-and-a-half. Nearly 36-percent of the top-10 finishers in the last five races have started from outside the top-12 as well. How is Kansas also not a typical intermediate track for DFS? There’s typically been more splitting of laps led in the last five races. Of the 267 laps in the normal race at Kansas, 162, on average, are led by the drivers starting in the top-five of the grid. However, in two of the last five races we’ve seen no drivers lead 100 or more laps. So, when all is said and done, we’re looking for drivers who can finish highly, move up several spots, and two laps led drivers. The tracks that compare to Kansas are generally considered to be Auto Club, Las Vegas, Homestead, and even Dover. Those are the tracks where average running position correlate best to Kansas for predicting results. The other thing to keep in mind is that the aero package on the cars this year compare very nicely to what’s been on the cars here since 2016 and thus, the results from those races can still be weighed just fine for driver averages. At practice on Saturday we saw different track conditions than we'll see for the race. What's different? Well it was a hot, slick, track with temps in the mid-80s and sunny weather. Sunday will see temps in the mid-70s with cloud cover which will make the track cooler and give it more grip. For DFS that means that passing should be easier as cars will grip better when on the bottom groove in the corners.
Average DFS Scoring By Starting Spot
Below is the average scoring posted in DFS for both sites by starting spot regardless of the driver in that starting spot. These averages are over the last five Kansas races. Use these as more of a strategy guide than a hard-and-fast rule given that some are fluke scores and can push the average up.
Stacks
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