We have some great MLB PrizePicks player props to target on the board this afternoon! In particular, I am looking at some strikeout props for pitchers who have pretty decent odds at hitting the over when you look at the sportsbooks where I'm looking at some -150 and -130 favorites but fortunately we don't have to pay that juice over on PrizePicks. So let's get to today's top plays!

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PrizePicks Top Plays

 

Framber Valdez Over 5.5 Strikeouts

One strategy I take when it comes to identifying player props for the day is to see where the lines on the sportsbooks are and today when looking at DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM and PointsBet we see Valdez over strikeout prop sitting at -150 and -155 to hit the over so being able to get the same line here on PrizePicks without having to pay those kid of odds on the return is such a nice bonus. The Marlins have the highest strikeout rate in baseball against left-handed pitching this season at 29.2-percent and Framber has gone over today's total in four of his last six starts. I'll buy into the matchup here and look for him to pitch deep into this game to get it done at good odds.

 

Zack Wheeler Over 7.0 Strikeouts

Odds shopping this one was a bit interesting as some books have Wheeler's strikeout prop as high as 7.5 for today while he is a big favorite to hit the over at -160 over on BetMGM. The matchup today is one of the best in baseball for right-handed pitching with the Diamondbacks posting a 26.1-percent strikeout rate over the past two weeks which is the second-highest mark in baseball.  Wheeler has a 10.5 K/9 on the year and has gone over today's total in seven straight starts.

 

Adam Wainwright Over 4.0 Strikeouts

We love Adam Wainwright when he pitches at home and today he has a good matchup against a Reds lineup that has the 10th highest strikeout rate against RHP this season. Now, I will acknowledge that Waino's strikeout numbers have really been up and down this season evidenced no more than his last two starts where he had 10 strikeouts against the Padres and then zero strikeouts against the Cubs. His strikeout prop on the sportsbooks are all over the place with him sitting as high as a -120 favorite to hit the over at 4.5 to the over being a +105 underdog. I'm riding the matchup here today. 

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