Big 12 game NBA slate for tonight's PrizePicks player prop board and with so many players there are a bunch of different directions we can go when building our tickets for tonight. Here are four of my favorites to use as your core plays.
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Prize Picks Top Plays
Mikal Bridges Over 15.5 Points
We talk on the NBA DFS Podcast that Mikal Bridges just plays better when Devin Booker is on the floor. Our guess here is just the way opposing teams play defense against Bridges when Booker is there but over the last five games there is a clear uptick in offensive production that coincides with Booker's return to the lineup. During these past five games, Bridges is averaging 20.6 points per game, scoring no less than 18 points per contest. The per 36-minute stats prove this as well as Bridges averages 20.69 points per 36 since the Chris Paul injury with Booker on the floor and just 16.48 points per 36 with Booker off the floor.
Mikal Bridges L5 Game Point Totals
Christian Wood Over 3.5 Free Throws Made
I love this matchup tonight for Wood as the Rockets face off against the defensively challenged Indiana Pacers. The Pacers frontcourt is especially soft and one I think Wood should have absolutely no trouble with. The fact here that he only needs to hit four free throws is what stands out to me as the Pacers commit the eighth-most fouls per game in the NBA this season and their opponents are attempting the eighth-most free throws per game this season as well. Though this matchup would have been a lot better had Isaiah Jackson been healthy enough to play, Jalen Smith is no stranger to foul trouble and he likely gets the start in his place here tonight. We could also see Goga Bitadze off the bench for the Pacers and he is averaging 3.5 fouls per game over the last two games. Wood has gone over on this total in four of the last five games.
Christian Wood L5 Game Free Throw Totals
Michell Robinson Over 2.5 Blocks+Steals
We played this prop the other day and it smashed so why not run it back? Robinson is averaging 4.2 BLK+STL over the last five games and has hit the over on this total in six of the last seven. On the season he averages 2.5 BLK+STL per game here as well. During this recent five-game stretch, Robinson has totaled over five, four, seven, and five. The Wizards as a team allow an average of 11.6 blocks and steals per game.
Mitchell Robinson L10 Game Blocks+Steals Total
Dorian Finney-Smith Over 10.5 Points
Ok, I understand that it has been a bit of a letdown city when it comes to my guy here over the past few games as DFS has missed the mark in two of the last three but in both of those games he was in foul trouble and he had some real tough assignments going up against Kevin Durant and Julius Randle. Tonight should not be one of those nights as Tobias Harris isn't nearly as involved in the offense as he once was with Joel Embiid and James Harden dominating the offensive possessions and on the defensive end Harris isn't exactly Kawhi Leonard here either. Maybe this play is more with my heart than with my head but I am willing to run it back.
Dorian Finney-Smith L10 Game Point Totals
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