We have 12 games on the main slate tonight and a LOT of options to choose from. We have players out left and right and a lot of options to sift through. Let’s dive into our favorite plays as we start the final week of the basketball season.

 

 

 

 

Keldon Johnson OVER 20.5 points

Something that has been extremely constant lately has been Keldon Johnson’s scoring ability. Johnson, over his last 10 games, has gone over 20.5 points – which is his current prop – in eight of them. 

He’s played each of the last two games without Dejounte Murray, which will be the case once again on Tuesday. This game clinches a play-in playoff game spot for the Spurs too. Johnson averaged 22.1 points per game over his last 10 and in two meetings with Denver this year, he’s averaged 20.5. The kicker here is he’s averaged only 28 minutes against them, and he’s consistently over 30 now. Sometimes closer to 40 than 30.

Denver, over the last 15 games, ranks 27th in defensive rating and has been very exploitable defensively. Look for Johnson to go over once again in this spot.

 


 

Nikola Vucevic OVER 9.5 rebounds

I like the points, rebounds, and points+rebounds for Nikola Vucevic as long as Zach LaVine is ruled out. In nine of the last 10 games LaVine has been out while Vucevic has played in, he’s hit the over rebounds. It’s eight of 10 in the points and points+rebounds department too.


He’s averaging 20 points and nine rebounds per game in three meetings against Milwaukee this year. Vucevic gets a massive 2.8% USG bump up to 28% and averages around 1.3 FP/min.

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