Spencer Dinwiddie OVER 32.5 points+rebounds+assists

Dinwiddie looks like a different player in a Mavericks jersey than he did in a Wizards jersey earlier this season. Now, he gets to play without Luka Doncic in this spot. Dinwiddie has been fantastic from a fantasy perspective without Doncic this year, averaging a 33.9% USG rate – which leads the team – along with a 1.35 FP/min average.

Dinwiddie has played just one game without Doncic this year. He had 36 points, seven assists, and two rebounds across 36 minutes. Now his match-up against the Rockets is as good as it gets. On the season, Houston is 30th – dead last – in defensive rating and is second in pace. Dinwiddie and the Mavs are going to have open shots all night and will have extra possessions than they normally do.

In 10 March games, Dinwiddie has averaged 19.1 points, 4.4 assists, and 3.7 rebounds and he’s only started in six of them and played without Doncic in one of them. He’s in a can’t-miss spot here. He’s going over the 32.5 PRA.

 

 

 

Harrison Barnes OVER 18.5 points

The Kings will be missing both Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox here and Barnes is going to be the primary beneficiary because of that. Barnes is coming off 21 actual points against Phoenix and now gets to face a team that plays no defense, a team he’s already scored 22 points against.

The 60% hit rate Barnes has had on this number without Fox and Sabonis in the lineup is something, but it’s worth noting the opponent he’s facing tonight as well. Since the All-Star break, Indiana ranks 22nd in DRtg and 23rd since the start of March. They’re also ninth in pace over that span, which would mean more possessions coming Barnes’ way. This game has a 234.5 over/under that Barnes will be heavily featured in.

Follow me on Twitter for more Underdog Fantasy discussions – @The_Real_Grande

Make sure you check out our Underdog Fantasy Discord Channel where more plays will be added! Join the Discord by clicking the connect button in your account profile to join the conversation!

Related Links

Graph Credit: 

https://www.props.cash/