This card should be called UFC, We Didn't Know What To Do With Them. There's a collection of cast offs and leftovers doing battle here. I'm sure some fun fights will emerge but it's hard to say which. That variance always makes for an interesting DFS landscape.
Playbook:
Main Event | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Amanda Lemos vs Jessica Andrade | 7300/8900 | - | Stackability: Moderate | +175 / -210 | +260/+130 |
I don't think Lemos is ready for this spot. Andrade is a killer in the lower women's divisions. She has power wrestling and throws with heavy hands. She hung around with Angie Hill but that's a different kind of fight than this will be. It's not a terrible stack since it's WMMA but Andrade is one of the best female finishers. | |||||
Expensive | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Alexandr Romanov | 9600 | Chase Sherman | Somewhat-Safe | -150 | |
This is a cut and dry walloping incoming. Sherman won’t stay on his feet long enough to make any striking count. Romanov will rinse and repeat takedowns and look to stay out of the third round where he tired previously. | |||||
Tyson Pedro | 9300 | Ike Villanueva | Somewhat-Safe | -630 | -330 |
Pedro is getting the best layup the UFC can offer in his return. Ike is very easy to submit and Pedro has some savvy there. It will all depend on how fast that happens. | |||||
Dean Barry | 9500 | Mike Jackson | Somewhat-Safe | -137 | -225 |
It's hard to say what to expect from a middling Irish prospect that only wants to debut against Mike Jackson over multiple rebookings. Jackson is very beatable, though. | |||||
Aori Aoriqileng | 9100 | Cameron Else | Moderate | #N/A | #N/A |
Chinese prospects are more miss than hit. Aori put on a good effort against the very lively Jeff Molina, though. He gets a more manageable opponent here. | |||||
Maycee Barber | 9000 | Montana De La Rosa | Moderate | -180 | +275 |
The striker in a striker/grappler battle. If she doesn't get taken down much her striking is levels better. | |||||
Mid-Range | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Marc-Andre Barriault | 8600 | Jordan Wright | Moderate | -195 | +140 |
I'd be more comfortable if MAB wasn't a late replacement. Wright is a lock to kill or be killed early on. | |||||
Charles Jourdain | 8500 | Lando Vannata | Moderate | -110 | +330 |
Jourdain has struggled to defend wrestling and Lando can do that when he chooses. He doesn't always, though. If Jourdain can get in a striking groove he's very dangerous. | |||||
Marcin Prachnio | 8400 | Philipe Lins | Somewhat-Risky | -125 | +150 |
Prachnio finally bothered to keep his chin somewhat out of harms way in his win over an out of shape Khalil Rountree. He'll have a speed advantage over the reeling Lins, who's move down to 205 is possibly ill-advised. Lins own chin has been shaky and he hasn't looked great since taking home a PFL title. | |||||
Evan Elder | 8100 | Evan Elder | Somewhat-Risky | +115 | +200 |
Elder isn't a world beater but has a very winnable fight in front of him. He would still need a decent performance at the dead middle pricing but it's a lowered bar. | |||||
Preston Parsons | 8100 | Preston Parsons | Somewhat-Risky | -135 | +165 |
It's possible Parsons is improving and bit off more than he could chew in debut with Daniel Rodriguez. He'll be at low ownership. | |||||
Clay Guida | 8200 | Claudio Puelles | Somewhat-Risky | -110 | +425 |
The Carpenter is all about the grind. These days it's a striking test but he hasn't forgotten how to wrestle. Puelles has bailed himself out with submissions so it's probably not a good idea to hit the mat. | |||||
Claudio Puelles | 8000 | Clay Guida | Risky | -110 | +250 |
Pay-Downs | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Montana De La Rosa | 7200 | Maycee Barber | Somewhat-Risky | +155 | +550 |
If Montana can hit some takedowns her BJJ is in play. Barber has wrestling troubles but Montana isn't the best at takedowns. | |||||
Lando Vannata | 7700 | Charles Jourdain | Somewhat-Risky | -110 | +330 |
Vannata would need to commit to wrestling to really pull away here. He's had mixed results on that front. | |||||
Jordan Wright | 7600 | Marc-Andre Barriault | Risky | +165 | +240 |
It's always a fun fight with Jordan Wright. The Beverly Hills Ninja goes for broke but also has a cracked chin. | |||||
Philipe Lins | 7800 | Marcin Prachnio | Risky | +105 | +215 |
Lins has the same path everyone has exploited against Prachnio: hit his glass jaw. Marcin will run straight at opponents throwing wild and exposing himself. | |||||
Chase Sherman | 6600 | Alexandr Romanov | Risky | +850 | |
The Vanilla Gorilla got his UFC walking papers but got brought right back late notice here. His only real path is to weather the early thrashing and turn up the pace on a tired Romanov. Not impossible but improbable. | |||||
Dwight Grant | 7900 | Sergey Khandozhko | Risky | +100 | +275 |
Grant is generally too inactive to be a good bet. On the occasion he can connect his power is huge, though. | |||||
Cameron Else | 7100 | Aori Aoriqileng | Risky | +190 | +330 |
Else has been out for a while. It's possible he's improved and isn't facing a huge challenge in Qileng. | |||||
Ike Villanueva | 6900 | Tyson Pedro | Risky | #N/A | +650 |
Hurricane Ike can occasionally prevail in a brawl. Pedro isn't the most technical striker and will have some ring rust. |
Example Lineup:
Live Dogs:
Vannata, de la Rosa, Wright, Lins, Puelles, Sherman
Stats & Picks:
Amanda Lemos | vs | Jessica Andrade |
$7,300 | DFS Salary | $8,900 |
Record: 11-1-1 | Record | Record: 22-9-0 |
7 | Knockouts | 9 |
2 | Subs | 7 |
+175 | Vegas Odds | -210 |
2/10 | Lineup Pool | 8/10 |
Clay Guida | vs | Claudio Puelles |
$8,200 | DFS Salary | $8,000 |
Record: 37-18-0 | Record | Record: 12-2-0 |
9 | Knockouts | 7 |
7 | Subs | 14 |
-110 | Vegas Odds | -110 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Maycee Barber | vs | Montana De La Rosa |
$9,000 | DFS Salary | $7,200 |
Record: 9-2-0 | Record | Record: 12-6-1 |
2 | Knockouts | 5 |
6 | Subs | 2 |
-180 | Vegas Odds | +155 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Alexandr Romanov | vs | Chase Sherman |
$9,600 | DFS Salary | $6,600 |
Record: 15-0-0 | Record | Record: 15-9-0 |
1 | Knockouts | 6 |
8 | Subs | 8 |
-150 | Vegas Odds | +850 |
7/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
Lando Vannata | vs | Charles Jourdain |
$7,700 | DFS Salary | $8,500 |
Record: 12-5-2 | Record | Record: 12-4-1 |
14 | Knockouts | 4 |
0 | Subs | 5 |
-110 | Vegas Odds | -110 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool2 | 5/10 |
0 | ||
Jordan Wright | vs | Marc-Andre Barriault |
$7,600 | DFS Salary | $8,600 |
Record: 12-2-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 13-5-0 (1 NC) |
8 | Knockouts | 7 |
3 | Subs | 5 |
+165 | Vegas Odds | -195 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
Dwight Grant | vs | Sergey Khandozhko |
$7,900 | DFS Salary | $8,300 |
Record: 11-4-0 | Record | Record: 27-6-1 |
9 | Knockouts | 7 |
0 | Subs | 14 |
+100 | Vegas Odds | -120 |
3/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Tyson Pedro | vs | Ike Villanueva |
$9,300 | DFS Salary | $6,900 |
Record: 7-3-0 | Record | Record: 18-13-0 |
10 | Knockouts | 2 |
7 | Subs | 5 |
-630 | Vegas Odds | #N/A |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
Aori Aoriqileng | vs | Cameron Else |
$9,100 | DFS Salary | $7,100 |
Record: 18-9-0 | Record | Record: 10-5-0 |
15 | Knockouts | 6 |
0 | Subs | 2 |
#N/A | Vegas Odds | +190 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
Preston Parsons | vs | Evan Elder |
$8,100 | DFS Salary | $8,100 |
Record: 9-3-0 | Record | Record: 7-0-0 |
6 | Knockouts | 0 |
4 | Subs | 9 |
-135 | Vegas Odds | +115 |
4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Marcin Prachnio | vs | Philipe Lins |
$8,400 | DFS Salary | $7,800 |
Record: 15-5-0 | Record | Record: 14-5-0 |
4 | Knockouts | 11 |
1 | Subs | 1 |
-125 | Vegas Odds | +105 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Dean Barry | vs | Mike Jackson |
$9,500 | DFS Salary | $6,700 |
Record: 4-1-0 | Record | Record: 0-1-0 (1 NC) |
8 | Knockouts | 4 |
4 | Subs | 0 |
-137 | Vegas Odds | +800 |
5/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
#N/A | vs | #N/A |
#N/A | DFS Salary | #N/A |
Record | ||
0 | Knockouts | 1 |
0 | Subs | 1 |
#N/A | Vegas Odds | #N/A |
2/10 | Lineup Pool | 6/10 |
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