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SKADE (World rank: #30) vs. Eternal Fire (World rank: #25) - 7:00 A.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: SKADE (-240) | Eternal Fire (+175)

Map Handicap: SKADE -1.5 (+135) | Eternal Fire +1.5 (-180)

  • This is an online best-of-three series for the quarter-finals of Pinnacle Cup IV
  • SKADE - Rating at event: dream3r 1.14 | dennyslaw  1.07 | Rainwaker 1.07 | SHiPZ 1.06 | bubble 0.93
  • SKADE - Rating past three months: Rainwaker 1.12 | SHiPZ 1.12 | dennyslaw 1.10 | dream3r 1.09 | bubble  0.94
  • Eternal Fire - Rating at event: N/A
  • Eternal Fire - Rating past three months: XANTARES 1.27 | woxic 1.12 | imoRR 1.11 | Calyx 1.07 | xfl0ud 1.04 

H2H Data:

  • These rosters last faced in April at the IEM Dallas 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 2 and Eternal Fire won 16-2 in a best-of-one on Overpass. Calyx led the server with 21 kills and a 1.88 Rating. 

Prediction/Narrative:  SKADE wins 2-1.

SKADE did not look when they last faced Eternal Fire, but they have dominated EF in best-of-threes in the past, having won four out of six maps played between these rosters. SKADE have also been in excellent form as of late having won 9 of their last 10 series, and they are the defending champions of this event as winners of Pinnacle Cup III. Eternal Fire received a playoff invite and they are the higher-ranked team, but we have seen in the past that these teams with playoff invites don’t always perform to expectations at Pinnacle Cup. I expect SKADE to stay hot, especially in a match-up that they have gotten the best of in the past. We’ve seen SKADE play elite Counter-Strike at Pinnacle Cup III, and I think they are primed for another playoff run. 

  • SKADE K/D Leaders at this event: dream3r 1.19 | dennsylaw 1.11 | Rainwaker 1.07
  • dennyslaw leads SKADE with 0.13 opening kills per round across 15 maps played at this event.

Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority): 

dennyslaw ($7,600) | dream3r ($6,600) | Rainwaker ($9,000) | SHiPZ ($9,800) | imoRR ($6,200) | XANTARES ($8,200) 

 

Bad News Eagles (World rank: #19) vs. ECSTATIC (World rank: #38) - 10:00 A.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: Bad News Eagles (-195) | ECSTATIC (+160)

Map Handicap: Bad News Eagles -1.5 (+150) | ECSTATIC +1.5 (-185)

  • This is an online best-of-three series for the quarter-finals of Pinnacle Cup IV
  • Bad News Eagles - Rating at event: N/A
  • Bad News Eagles - Rating past three months: rigoN 1.11 | juanflatroo 1.08 | gxx- 1.05 | sinnopsyy 1.04 | SENER1  0.96 
  • ECSTATIC - Rating at event: FASHR 1.25 | XELLOW  1.10 | birdfromsky 1.03 | maNkz 1.03 | Daffu 0.97
  • ECSTATIC - Rating past three months: FASHR 1.19 | XELLOW 1.07 | maNkz 1.00 | Daffu  0.99 | birdfromsky 0.98

H2H Data:

  • These rosters have never faced each other. The teams last faced in December 2021 at Malta Vibes Knockout Series 4, prior to ECSTATIC benching WolfY for XELLOW. ECSTATIC won that series 2-0 (16-8 Dust2 / 16-11 Vertigo) and maNkz led the way with 44 kills and a 1.44 Rating across two maps played. 

Prediction/Narrative: ECSTATIC wins 2-1.

We haven’t seen these rosters play each other before, but ECSTATIC (FKA Lyngby Vikings) have beaten this Bad News Eagles lineup (FKA BLINK) all three times that they faced, and ECSTATIC won six out of eight maps played. ECSTATIC have proven that they are still solid without WolfY in the lineup as they now have a 22-18 W/L record across 40 maps played, and they are now on a three series win streak with victories against Apeks, Enterprise, and MASONIC. Bad News Eagles received a playoff invite and they are the higher-ranked team, but I think they are overpriced in this spot, especially given the past history of teams with playoff invites at Pinnacle Cup events. Mirage is one of Bad News Eagles’ favorite maps and ECSTATIC should ban it to start. The rest of the map pool could go either way with both teams looking good on Inferno & Vertigo. I think ECSTATIC are a live underdog in what could end up being a close series, and I’d prefer to take the value on Draftkings with ECSTATIC all things considered. 

  • ECSTATIC K/D Leaders at this event: FASHR 1.26 | XELLOW 1.14 | maNkz 1.00
  • XELLOW leads ECSTATIC with 0.15 opening kills per round across 16 maps played at this event. 

Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority): 

 XELLOW ($7,000) | FASHR ($8,000) | maNkz ($6,000) | gxx- ($6,400) | juanflatroo ($8,600) | birdfromsky ($4,200) | rigoN ($9,600) 

 

Movistar Riders (World rank: #18) vs. Isurus (World rank: #53) - 1:00 P.M. ET

Moneyline Odds: Movistar Riders (-205) | Isurus (+165)

Map Handicap: Movistar Riders -1.5 (+155) | Isurus +1.5 (-190)

  • This is an online best-of-three series for the quarter-finals of Pinnacle Cup IV
  • Movistar Riders - Rating at event: N/A
  • Movistar Riders - Rating past three months: SunPayus  1.17 | alex 1.08 | mopoz 0.99 | DeathZz 0.99 | dav1g  0.93 
  • Isurus - Rating at event: deco 1.08 | Gafolo 1.05 | Noktse 1.04 | ALLE 1.04 | DeStiNy 0.99
  • Isurus - Rating past three months: deco 1.05 | DeStiNy 1.05 | Noktse 1.02 | ALLE  1.02 | Gafolo 1.01

H2H Data:

  • These rosters have never faced each other. 

Prediction/Narrative: Movistar Riders win 2-0.

I’ve leaned towards fading the teams with playoff invites on this slate, but I won’t be fading Movistar Riders as I think they should be the biggest favorites on the slate. Isurus made some noise earlier in the week with a sweep against K23, but take that win with a grain of salt since K23 are shuffling their roster around at the moment with Fame & Norbert possibly joining Virtus.pro. Movistar Riders have lost three series in a row, but this will be a much easier match-up for them considering their losses came against good teams with Astralis, MOUZ, and Apeks. Movistar Riders have destroyed teams outside of the top 50 rankings in the past with a 23-8 WL record against teams outside of the top 50 rankings. Movistar Riders also have a 6-2 W/L record across eight maps played in the past three months against teams outside of the top 50 rankings, and they should continue their dominance against Isurus. We’ve never seen Isurus take down a top 20 team before, and I doubt we see it happen in this spot.

  • Movistar Riders K/D Leaders past three months: SunPayus 1.26 | alex 1.05 | DeathZz 0.99
  • SunPayus & mopoz lead Movistar Riders with 0.12 opening kills per round across 37 maps played in the past three months.

Favorite Draftkings Plays (In order of priority): 

SunPayus ($9,400) | mopoz ($7,400) | alex ($8,400) | DeathZz ($6,400) | Gafolo ($4,000) | dav1g ($5,600) 

 

*Top Stacks: Movistar Riders, SKADE, ECSTATIC

*Favorite Captains: SunPayus, dennyslaw. FASHR, alex, Rainwaker, SHiPZ, juanflatroo

*Favorite Value Plays: mopoz, dream3r, XELLOW, DeathZz, maNkz, gxx-, imoRR, birdfromsky, Gafolo