There are only 11 fights on this UFC Vegas 54 Fight Night card. That makes it more likely there’s one or two magic bullets that will win tournaments if that’s your kind of MMA DFS night. The upside is that there are a plethora of live underdogs. It’s always fun to root for the dogs to bark in daily fantasy. The MMA DFS Playbook features the top UFC Vegas 54 DFS plays, DFS picks, and stacking opportunities to help you cash in big tonight.




MMA DFS Playbook for UFC Vegas 54

Main Event
Jan Blachowicz vs Aleksandar Rakic7500/8700-Stackability: Moderate+165/ -195+330/+165
Our main event comes with clear title shot implications. The biggest concern I have is that both of these guys have shown a willingness to fight a tight, less than exciting style. Both have finishing ability when presented with the right opportunity, though. Jan would be my pick if I had more confidence his neck was 100%. Rakic clearly has immense potential but has struggled putting everything together in the cage for signature wins. If Jan is his usual sharp self, I can see him frustrating the younger man. If not, Rakic's raw strength wears the older man down.
Nick Maximov9300Andre PetroskiSomewhat-Safe-365+150
The Diaz brothers' protege has been taking on big names and cashing in wins so far in his UFC run. He's got an excellent base set of skills with wrestling and aggression. His striking is progressing, as well. This match up is likely the UFC wanting to see how he does without a clear wrestling edge.
Davey Grant9100Louis SmolkaSomewhat-Safe-300-135
Grant's finally getting some betting line respect. He's been surging in the UFC despite losing two straight to big names. His all out wild brawls make for must see fights. Smolka represents a big step back in competition level so we'll see if he can capitalize.
Ion Cutelaba8900Ryan SpannSomewhat-Safe-210-165
I hadn't been much of a Cutelaba fan but he's worked to fix his issues lately. Last fight he showed a gas tank and has cut out the wild man BS. His power and wrestling make him the clear favorite over Spann, a guy that has trouble with both.
Tatsuro Taira9000Carlos CandelarioModerate-305+120
The undefeated Japanese prospect has a lot to prove. His control makes this a tough task for Candelario. Betting prospect debutants at chalk prices is a losing proposition, however.
Virna Jandiroba8500Angela HillModerate-200+240
Virna has a huge wrestling and BJJ advantage if she can catch up to the very athletic Hill. If she can't she's probably toast. That makes her a top target because a win means she dominated with wrestling.
Jake Hadley8800Allan NascimentoModerate-210+275
Hadley plays the British bad boy but that has won him few friends in the UFC. He's got a tough debut on tap here. Nascimento is no pushover. He also has solid BJJ. Hadley has relied on grappling in his UK come up. The UK BJJ scene is a little different than Brazil, though. That all said, aggression could be enough to overwhelm the tough but limited Nascimento.
Michael Johnson8400Alan PatrickSomewhat-Risky-150+240
Johnson continues to be an enigma. He's beaten some of the best and lost to some of the worst. His boxing is still crisp but his body is shot and he can't wrestle. Patrick is as much of a cupcake as you get in the UFC. This is likely management thanking him for his service.
Manuel Torres8300Frank CamachoSomewhat-Risky-130+120
Oddsmakers are angling that Camacho is going to continue to struggle in the octagon after many brawls. Torres is a tough fighter and can certainly check the chin that Camacho leaves out too often.
Katlyn Chookagian8600Amanda RibasSomewhat-Risky-170+350
As always, Chook figures to pitter patter from range and stay away from trouble. Point fighting is DK poison.
Andrea Lee8200Viviane AraujoSomewhat-Risky-125+450
Lee usually fares as well as her takedown defense. She's a decent kickboxer when not on her back but tends to be in too many close rounds.
Viviane Araujo8000Andrea LeeRisky+105+475
Araujo is a serviceable wrestler and that's been enough to steal rounds from Lee. A lot will come down to game plan and Araujo's willingness to stay dedicated to wrestling.
Frank Camacho7900Manuel TorresSomewhat-Risky+110+225
I'll take the dog shot on a UFC veteran in a close fight here. Camacho has had an inconsistent run of late but he looks in great shape. Much of his struggles could have been related to weight cutting. If his durability holds up like usual I see him winning a war.
Angela Hill7700Virna JandirobaSomewhat-Risky+170+750
Hill is another fighter who can dance circles around opponents if she's not stuck on her back. She generally pushes a hard pace, as well.
Allan Nascimento7400Jake HadleyRisky+175+380
Despite UFC losses, Nascimento has been extremely competitive against solid fighters. He's a guy I've been watching to breakthrough with the right bounce going his way. A debuting Brit is a good spot to take that shot.
Ryan Spann7300Ion CutelabaRisky+175+300
We never know what Ion is going to do in the cage. Spann is facing a challenge but has big power if Ion decides to go berserk and some sneaky BJJ if Cutelaba gasses out.
Amanda Ribas7600Katlyn ChookagianRisky+150+500
Ribas looks to continue getting back on track for a title shot. Chook is a tough nut to crack because she doesn't engage while moving away. The best have dealt with her fairly easily, though.
Alan Patrick7800Michael JohnsonRisky+130+350
The ancient and apathetic Patrick has a clear wrestling edge. The question is whether he'll hang tough long enough to utilize it. Johnson has given away plenty of fights to grapplers.
Louis Smolka7100Davey GrantRisky+235+400
We always have to be interested in Grant's opponents. He fights wild and eats big punishment. That's always a spot to target against at dog prices.
Carlos Candelario7200Tatsuro TairaRisky+240+500
When two prospects debut against each other there is often a surprise for how competitive the underdog is. A Japanese prospect isn't exactly a lock either.

MMA DFS Example Lineup for UFC Vegas 54


Live Dogs for UFC Vegas 54

Blachowicz, Camacho, Araujo, Hill, Nascimento, Ribas, Spann, Patrick


Stats & Picks for UFC Vegas 54

Jan BlachowiczvsAleksandar Rakic
$7,500DFS Salary$8,700
Record: 28-9-0RecordRecord: 14-2-0
+165Vegas Odds-195
5/10Lineup Pool5/10
Ryan SpannvsIon Cutelaba
$7,300DFS Salary$8,900
Record: 19-7-0Record 
+175Vegas Odds-210
3/10Lineup Pool7/10
Davey GrantvsLouis Smolka
$9,100DFS Salary$7,100
Record: 13-6-0RecordRecord: 17-8-0
-300Vegas Odds+235
6/10Lineup Pool4/10
Katlyn ChookagianvsAmanda Ribas
$8,600DFS Salary$7,600
Record: 17-4-0RecordRecord: 11-2-0
-170Vegas Odds+150
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
Frank CamachovsManuel Torres
$7,900DFS Salary$8,300
Record: 22-9-0RecordRecord: 12-2-0
+110Vegas Odds-130
5/10Lineup Pool4/10
Jake HadleyvsAllan Nascimento
$8,800DFS Salary$7,400
Record: 8-0-0RecordRecord: 18-6-0
-210Vegas Odds+175
5/10Lineup Pool5/10
Viviane AraujovsAndrea Lee
$8,000DFS Salary$8,200
Record: 10-3-0RecordRecord: 13-5-0
+105Vegas Odds-125
5/10Lineup Pool3/10
Michael JohnsonvsAlan Patrick
$8,400DFS Salary$7,800
Record: 20-17-0Record 
-150Vegas Odds+130
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
Virna JandirobavsAngela Hill
$8,500DFS Salary$7,700
Record: 17-3-0RecordRecord: 13-11-0
-200Vegas Odds+170
5/10Lineup Pool5/10
Tatsuro TairavsCarlos Candelario
$9,000DFS Salary$7,200
Record: 10-0-0RecordRecord: 8-1-0
-305Vegas Odds+240
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
Nick MaximovvsAndre Petroski
$9,300DFS Salary$6,900
Record: 8-0-0RecordRecord: 7-2-0
-365Vegas Odds+280
7/10Lineup Pool3/10
#N/ADFS Salary#N/A
#N/AVegas Odds#N/A
6/10Lineup Pool3/10
#N/ADFS Salary#N/A
#N/AVegas Odds#N/A
2/10Lineup Pool6/10

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