MMA DFS Playbook: UFC Vegas 57

Published: Jun 25, 2022

Updated: Jun 25, 2022

The UFC has lined up another very solid card for us this weekend. There's not huge names on it but many solid and exciting fights to be had. We're back in Vegas at the APEX and smaller cage so finishes should be found. Check out all of the latest UFC Vegas 57 odds, stats, predictions, and matchup breakdowns for the entire fight card below. Now let's look at some UFC DFS top picks and plays for Saturday's UFC Vegas 57 event. Good luck in your MMA daily fantasy lineups!

MMA DFS Playbook for UFC Vegas 57

Main Event
Fighter(s)	Price	Opponent	Risk	Odds	ITD
Arman Tsarukyan vs Mateusz Gamrot	9100/7100	-	Stackability: Moderate	-265/ +225	+150/+550
Two bright young prospects get to showcase themselves in a main event here. Tsarukyan has been making major strides in the division and Gamrot has made the jump from KSW with great success. The wrestling is pretty close and the striking is also even. Both men want this win plenty. Tsarukyan has slight edges so he's the rightful favorite but it's close.

Expensive
Fighter(s)	Price	Opponent	Risk	Odds	ITD
Umar Nurmagomedov	9500	Nate Maness	Somewhat-Safe	-950	-150
Cousin Umar is the complete package. He can of course wrestle but the striking is advanced, as well. Maness has capitalized on opponents not finishing him quickly enough. Umar probably doesn't repeat that mistake.
Shavkat Rakhmonov	9300	Neil Magny	Somewhat-Safe	-435	-165
Shav is rocketing up the rankings with his finishing ways. Magny is an excellent test. If you have holes Magny will chip at them. Rakh is still developing but probably has enough firepower to dispatch the vet.
Thiago Moises	9000	Christos Giagos	Somewhat-Safe	-255	+140
If Moises survives the first round Giagos will be gassed as usual. Then Thiago can take over and possibly find a finish.
Jinh Yu Frey	9200	Vanessa Demopoulos	Moderate	-225	+300
Frey is likely to look like her solid self and take a decision. Demopoulos only real threat is her BJJ.

Mid-Range
Fighter(s)	Price	Opponent	Risk	Odds	ITD
Chris Curtis	8600	Rodolfo Vieira	Moderate	-120	-105
The Action Man is back at it this weekend. It took a while for him to get to the UFC but he's making a splash. His slick boxing and toughness make him a tough riddle for most to solve. If Vieira can't find a sub he's likely to wilt and get pieced up by Curtis.
TJ Brown	8900	Shayilan Nuerdanbieke	Moderate	-210	+225
Brown is a case of talent with bad luck/decision making. He can hang with good fighters but has made mistakes against lesser ones. He should have the advantage everywhere in this one. Everywhere except between the ears, maybe.
Sergey Morozov	8500	Raulian Paiva	Somewhat-Risky	-150	+250
Morozov has been unlucky in the UFC. He's better than Paiva everywhere expect maybe heart. Not to say he's lacking. Paiva just has more than most. He also gets beat up more than most. Let's see if Morozov can get a signature win.
Mario Bautista	8700	Brian Kelleher	Somewhat-Risky	-175	+215
Bautista's camp thinks highly of him when you look at their matchmaking. He is talented but gets too aggressive at times. That's why he's a decent GPP play.
Carlos Ulberg	8300	Tafon Nchukwi	Somewhat-Risky	+105	+225
If Ulberg can utilize length and strike from range then he can out point Tafon.
JP Buys	8200	Cody Durden	Somewhat-Risky	-115	+200
Buys hasn't had the softest landing in the UFC opponent-wise. This is much more his speed. He can out-wrestle Durden and tire him out.
Cody Durden	8000	JP Buys	Risky	-105	+300
If Durden can find a way to win the scrambles he may be able to make it a dog fight.

Pay-Downs
Fighter(s)	Price	Opponent	Risk	Odds	ITD
Tafon Nchukwi	7900	Carlos Ulberg	Somewhat-Risky	-125	+165
Tafon is the more well rounded fighter and probably the grittier guy. If he can use his strength to control Ulberg he's in the driver's seat.
Brian Kelleher	7500	Mario Bautista	Somewhat-Risky	+150	+275
Boom Kelleher will look to shock yet another prospect. His submission game is tight and he has sneaky counter shot power.
Christos Giagos	7200	Thiago Moises	Risky	+215	+650
Giagos comes out hard and that's been a problem for Moises in spots. It's a big risk but all of Giagos win equity is in an early finish.
Josh Parisian	7800	Alan Baudot	Risky	-110	+250
Parisian doesn't have the best wrestling but if he attempts any it's enough to get on top of Baudot and finish him.
Neil Magny	6900	Shavkat Rakhmonov	Risky	+350	+100
Magny is a veteran and complete fighter. He can work behind a jab while waiting for mistakes. That's often trouble for young fighters.
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke	7300	TJ Brown	Risky	+180	+550
We don't know if Shayilan has legit wrestling or not. Brown is solid there so he'd have to have the goods if he's going to win that way, which seems to be his goal in fights.
Raulian Paiva	7700	Sergey Morozov	Risky	+130	+300
Paiva has been surviving on toughness and heart while taking a lot of punishment. That's carried him to some wins. Hard to rely on, however.
Rodolfo Vieira	7600	Chris Curtis	Risky	+100	+130
Vieira is a muscled up BJJ shark. Unfortunately he struggles on the feet and isn't an elite wrestler. Maybe he knows how much urgency he has to fight with and finds an early finish.

MMA DFS Example Lineup for UFC Vegas 57

UFC Vegas 57 Live Dogs

Live Dogs: Gamrot, Nchukwi, Kelleher, Parisian, Giagos, Magny

UFC Vegas 57 Stats, Picks & Predictions

Arman Tsarukyan	vs	Mateusz Gamrot
$9,100	DFS Salary	$7,100
Record: 18-2-0	Record	Record: 20-1-0 (1 NC)
7	Knockouts	7
5	Subs	5
-265	Vegas Odds	+225
5/10	Lineup Pool	4/10

Neil Magny	vs	Shavkat Rakhmonov
$6,900	DFS Salary	$9,300
Record: 26-9-0	Record	Record: 15-0-0
7	Knockouts	8
3	Subs	7
+350	Vegas Odds	-435
3/10	Lineup Pool	5/10

Josh Parisian	vs	Alan Baudot
$7,800	DFS Salary	$8,400
Record: 14-5-0	Record	Record: 8-3-0 (1 NC)
10	Knockouts	7
2	Subs	0
-110	Vegas Odds	-110
4/10	Lineup Pool	4/10

Thiago Moises	vs	Christos Giagos
$9,000	DFS Salary	$7,200
Record: 15-6-0	Record	Record: 19-9-0
3	Knockouts	7
6	Subs	4
-255	Vegas Odds	+215
5/10	Lineup Pool	3/10

Nate Maness	vs	Umar Nurmagomedov
$6,700	DFS Salary	$9,500
Record: 14-1-0	Record	Record: 14-0-0
5	Knockouts	1
3	Subs	7
+650	Vegas Odds	-950
2/10	Lineup Pool2	8/10
	0
Chris Curtis	vs	Rodolfo Vieira
$8,600	DFS Salary	$7,600
Record: 28-8-0	Record	Record: 8-1-0
16	Knockouts	1
1	Subs	7
-120	Vegas Odds	+100
5/10	Lineup Pool	3/10

Carlos Ulberg	vs	Tafon Nchukwi
$8,300	DFS Salary	$7,900
Record: 6-1-0	Record	Record: 6-2-0
2	Knockouts	8
0	Subs	7
+105	Vegas Odds	-125
4/10	Lineup Pool	4/10

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke	vs	TJ Brown
$7,300	DFS Salary	$8,900
Record: 37-10-0	Record	Record: 16-8-0
18	Knockouts	4
10	Subs	9
+180	Vegas Odds	-210
3/10	Lineup Pool	5/10

Raulian Paiva	vs	Sergey Morozov
$7,700	DFS Salary	$8,500
Record: 21-4-0	Record	Record: 17-5-0
4	Knockouts	8
3	Subs	3
+130	Vegas Odds	-150
4/10	Lineup Pool	5/10

JP Buys	vs	Cody Durden
$8,200	DFS Salary	$8,000
Record: 9-4-0	Record	Record: 12-4-1
3	Knockouts	5
5	Subs	5
-115	Vegas Odds	-105
5/10	Lineup Pool	3/10

Brian Kelleher	vs	Mario Bautista
$7,500	DFS Salary	$8,700
Record: 24-13-0	Record	Record: 9-2-0
8	Knockouts	3
10	Subs	3
+150	Vegas Odds	-175
5/10	Lineup Pool	5/10

Vanessa Demopoulos	vs	Jinh Yu Frey
$7,000	DFS Salary	$9,200
Record: 7-4-0	Record	Record: 11-6-0
1	Knockouts	1
4	Subs	2
+190	Vegas Odds	-225
3/10	Lineup Pool	4/10

#N/A	vs	#N/A
#N/A	DFS Salary	#N/A
	Record
0	Knockouts	0
0	Subs	0
#N/A	Vegas Odds	#N/A
2/10	Lineup Pool	6/10

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