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Quarterback
Tua Tagovailoa vs. ATL ($26)
It was supposed to be a game in which Miami didn’t push their first-round pick from a year ago and then he went out and threw the ball 47 times. He had a big game passing, throwing for 329 yards passing along with two touchdowns. He’s a threat with his legs as well, as he notched 22 more yards on the ground on three attempts. He faces one of the worst defenses in the league in the Atlanta Falcons as the Falcons rank 30th in pass DVOA checking into this game. Through five games this year, the Falcons have allowed over 250 yards passing and two touchdowns per game. The 47.5 implied point total in this game is one of the better marks on the slate.
Running Back
Darrel Williams vs. TEN ($18)
The Chiefs have the third highest implied total on the board and this game between them and Tennessee features a robust 57.5 implied total, the largest on the board. It’s not only the largest game total on the board, it’s quite literally 6.5 points more than the next best game. Nearly a full touchdown! Considering the game script that Vegas has playing out here, the Chiefs could be controlling this game, which would put Williams in an advantageous spot to succeed here. In the same exact game script in Week 6, the Chiefs turned around and handed the ball off 21 times with Williams and he paid them off scoring twice. If it is a shootout like the total suggests it will be, Williams is more than capable in the passing game as he’s seen nine targets over the last two weeks.
Wide Receiver
Jaylen Waddle vs. ATL ($16)
It remains to be seen what happens with DeVante Parker this week, but even if he plays, Waddle is too cheap in this match-up against the Falcons who rate out as one of the league’s worst pass defenses. Waddle saw 13 targets last week, so if Parker does miss this week's game -- was limited in practice all week -- then Waddle could be one of the best values at any position, not just at receiver. Pairing him up with his quarterback -- who are both cheap -- allows you to do a lot at the other skill positions and still presents you with tremendous upside.
DeVonta Smith vs. LV ($14)
The former Heisman trophy winner still has one touchdown on his resume at the pro level and it was all the way back in Week 1. That feels like something that will change in Week 7 against the Raiders. Despite fairly good numbers against receivers this season, the Raiders rank out slightly worse than middle of the road against the position in terms of pass DVOA. After opening at 47.5, this game has risen to 48.5, which is the third highest mark on the docket. Philadelphia has been trailing and forced to throw a LOT this year and I see that happening here once again, only benefitting Smith in Week 7.
Tight End
Ricky Seals-Jones vs. GB ($15)
Now that he’s been cleared and is back at practice, Seals-Jones is right back in play as one of the better value’s at the position. We know all about how much Logan Thomas lined up in the slot and how many routes he run and well, Washington is using Seals-Jones in a similar fashion. Washington is a 7.5 point underdog and will be trailing early and often here. That means a lot of drop backs and a lot of routes run for Seals-Jones. It’s setting up nicely for him to have another big game in Week 7.
Player News
Steelers signed QB Aaron Rodgers, formerly of the Jets, to a one-year, $13.65 million contract.
The deal includes $10 million in guaranteed money and $5.85 million in playing time and team performance incentives, bringing the potential total value to $19.5 million. It was previously reported that Rodgers would play for around $10 million this season with his new deal in Pittsburgh bringing that much in guarantees. The veteran quarterback would have made $37.5 million playing with the Jets this season, but the team has since moved on in favor of a cheaper contract with Justin Fields. Rodgers should not be expected to throw more than 30-33 times per-game based on the strength of Pittsburgh’s outstanding defense, which limits his fantasy appeal to deeper leagues and two-quarterback formats.
NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reports WR Chris Conley has retired.
Conley, who appeared in 23 games for the 49ers over the last two seasons, is hanging up his cleats after a 10-year career in the NFL. Drafted in the third round of the 2015 NFL Draft by the Chiefs, Conley is perhaps best known for his time in Jacksonville. The 32-year-old receiver had 775 yards on 47 catches and five touchdowns in 2019 with the Jaguars. Conley is heading to film school at the University of Georgia, according to Rapoport.
The Athletic’s Daniel Popper said Chargers UDFA TE Stevo Klotz “feels like a lock for the practice squad, with the potential to make an impact as an elevation player during the season.”
This one is mostly for dynasty managers. Klotz has been drawing positive reviews from beat reporters thus far. Klotz never made a large impact as a receiver at his alma mater, Iowa State, but performed well as a blocker. Per Popper, he notably “caught five passes in Tuesday’s team drills,” though, and Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh he could be an “above-average core special teams” player. The front office curiously signed him to a three-year, $2.97 million contract, albeit a team-friendly one.
NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport said the Ravens could sign Isaiah Likely to a contract extension.
The comment comes during an NFL Insider’s spot in which Rapoport broke down the Ravens’ need to extend and restructure Lamar Jackson’s current deal. One week ago, Ravens head coach John Harbaugh said he wants to see Likely “be an All-Pro” this season, helpfully providing the 25-year-old tight end with positive commentary for the negotiating table. Likely has proven himself as an above-average receiver at the position but has been limited by his sidekick role behind Mark Andrews. Hopefully, all this talk about lofty expectations and a big payday signals a breakout campaign for Likely. He is scheduled to hit free agency at the end of the season, and if Harbaugh plans to feature him in the passing attack, it would make sense for the team to get a deal done beforehand.
NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reports that a contract extension for Lamar Jackson is “on the docket for the Ravens.”
Rapoport suggests that extending Jackson well before his contract’s scheduled end following the 2027 season was all part of the plan. The Ravens inserted “really high” salary cap numbers partway through the deal, in order to facilitate Jackson’s $72.8 million prorated signing bonus. Indeed, his hefty $43.5 million salary cap number in 2025 looks small compared to the consecutive $74.5 million salary cap hits scheduled in each of the next two seasons. Signing Jackson to an extension would help free up salary cap space and allow the Ravens to “potentially do” some other deals, including an extension for TE Isaiah Likely.
The Athletic’s Daniel Popper believes Chargers WR Quentin Johnston “will be in a heated battle come training camp,” though WR coach Sanjay Lal calls him “a starter.”
Per Popper, “Johnston has been working consistently with the first-team offense” while rookie WRs Tre Harris and KeAndre Lambert-Smith work through their “acclimation plan,” following time spent on the pre-draft “banquet circuit.” Mike Williams is also expected to "[push] Johnston for playing time on the outside.” We can’t put too much stock in Lal’s “starter” comments for Johnston, as he is effectively competing against himself at this point, but it appears as though he is at least in the No. 2 wide receiver role, rather than being immediately supplanted by Williams, who returned to the team back in March. Johnston could still have mild fantasy relevance if he can secure one of the Nos. 2 or 3 wide receiver roles.