What is going on FANation! We went 1-2 with yesterday's prop plays with some tough luck as we were just two assists shy on the Terry Rozier play with him not playing the entire 4th quarter due to a blowout and Reggie Jackson having an off night and being limited to just 19 minutes because of it . We hit the over on Zack LaVine assists as our only win.
For today's slate we have just two games with the Lakers vs 76ers and Timberwolves vs Warriors on the slate and there are some decent props on the board for us to target tonight so let's get to it.
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Today's Top Plays
Klay Thompson Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
Thompson saw a season high 26 minutes against the Mavericks the other night as his playing time continues to increase which is an encouraging sign when it comes to his overall prop plays because the board is generally slow to adjust to these types of playing time movements. Now, I don't think we see Thompson unleashed for 35 minutes tonight but I doubt we see him play less than 25 minutes outside of a blowout scenario here and we know our guy is going to shoot. He has hit the over 2.5 three-pointers prop in three of the last four games and he has not been shy about shooting the basketball here either, averaging 6.9 three-point attempts per game while on a minutes limit. His opponent tonight is the Minnesota Timberwolves who have struggled of late to defend the perimeter allowing the 5th highest three-point shooting percentage to opponents over the last three games and they will be without Patrick Beverley tonight as well who is their best on ball defender. Thompson played 23 minutes against the Timberwolves in his fourth game of the season and hit the over on this mark, shooting 3-for-8 from three-point range.
D'Angelo Russell Over 18.5 Points
Russell's scoring has been on point of late and it is looking like Patrick Beverley will once again be inactive. On the season when Beverley has been out of the lineup we have seen Russell hit the over on his scoring prop in five straight games and in nine of 13 games on the year. With Beverley out the ball is in the hands of Russell more often and it allows for him to create his own scoring opportunities as well. Now, in two games against the Warriors this season Russell has not hit this total, scoring just seven points in 22 minutes in their last meeting and finishing with 18 points in their first. I am looking to just ride the momentum Russell has right now scoring the basketball in a game that Vegas is listing with a 229.5 game total.
Kevon Looney Over 8.5 Rebounds
As long as Draymond Green is out of the starting lineup we should keep going back to this Looney rebounding prop which has hit the over 8.5 in six of the last seven games. In two games against the Timberwolves this season Looney has pulled down 12 and 17 rebounds and with the high expected game total there will certainly be plenty of shots going up tonight. With a 70% hit rate on this number over the last 10 day's I say we lock this one in.
Joel Embiid Over 11.5 Rebounds
Breaking my streak of taking the Embiid 1H points for tonight as the number has crept up to 16.5 and that is a mark he has only hit in three of the last eight games. That said, I am not fully fading Embiid because the man has been an absolute monster across the board and so I turn my attention to his rebounding prop for the night which sits at 11.5. Embiid has hit the over on this number in four straight games and in six of the last seven contests as well. The Lakers as a team rank 24th in opponent rebounding, allowing 55.1 rebounds per game, OKC is last at 57.0 rebounds per game. I know the return of Anthony Davis may cause some issues for Embiid here but Davis is still expected to be limited and we got news that LeBron James is listed as questionable for tonight and he is one of the Lakers top rebounders. Let's get some JoJo in our lives tonight.
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