Terry McLaurin, WAS - This isn’t a hard one folks. Do not overthink it. The Chiefs have allowed the fifth-most passing yards this season and they have allowed seven touchdowns to wideouts through five weeks this season. McLaurin has the fourth-most targets amongst wide receivers of the last three weeks, and while the efficiency hasn’t been there, a bad Kansas City defense will boost that a bit. Sunday Update: Washington said it was precautionary in terms of McLaurin’s hammy, but not sure I can trust McLaurin in cash games.
Ja’Marr Chase, CIN - The Lions rank 27th in DVOA against the pass. The Lions rank 22nd in DVOA against the opponent’s WR1. Sure, the Lions have allowed just three passing touchdowns to wide receivers this year, but the Burrow-to-Chase connection is clicking, and that is the sole reason I’m getting Chase in my lineups this week. You really think Armani Oruwariye, AJ Parker, Jerry Jacobs or any other player in that secondary can slow down Chase? The answer is no.
Davante Adams, GB - A little chalk never hurt anyone. Adams is the most targeted receiver over the past three weeks, and the Bears are the third-worst team in terms of DVOA against the opposition’s No. 1 wideout. Any matchup with Jaylon Johnson will be fun to watch, but outside of that, no other corner on Chicago’s roster will even put up a reasonable fight.
Brandin Cooks, HOU - After a few weeks of bad matchups for Cooks, it’s the perfect time to get back on the bandwagon. The Colts rank 25th in DVOA against the opposing team’s WR1 and did you see what Marquise Brown just did to this defense? Cooks can win at all levels of the field, and if Davis Mills plays like he did against New England, it could be a big day for Cooks.
Robby Anderson, CAR - Carolina moves its receivers around a good bit, so D.J. Moore is firmly in play this week, don’t get it misconstrued. In cash, yes, Moore is excellent this week, but I would be lying if I said that Anderson didn’t have some appeal, too. Minnesota’s secondary is hot garbage, and in terms of DVOA, they are actually better against the opposing WR1 (16th) compared to WR2 (27th). Carolina will have its way throwing to the right side of the field, as Minnesota’s Bashaud Breeland has been a liability all season. Moore in cash, but float Anderson in some GPPs. This could be his breakout game in 2021, especially if he gets similar volume to recent weeks.
Michael Pittman, IND - Pittman has been phenomenal this season and that should continue against Houston’s porous secondary. Sure, the Texans are forcing a turnover here and there, but that secondary stinks, and Terrance Mitchell and Desmond King aren’t stoppers by any means. Mitchell has a 10.3 aDOT and 93.8 passer rating against when targeted, while King has allowed a 124.5 passer rating and 83.3 percent reception percentage when targeted, per PFF. In between chunk plays from Jonathan Taylor, Pittman will get his, and his price point on FanDuel is tantalizing.
Mecole Hardman, KC - Hardman isn’t getting downfield as much as one would like, posting a 1.26 yards per route run metric and 4.6 aDOT, per Pro Football Focus. However, if Tyreek Hill is limited in any manner, and I mean in even the smallest of manners, fire Hardman up everywhere. He’s cheap and the upside is immense against a Washington defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers this season. Hardman is averaging six targets per game over the last three weeks, and he can do serious damage against a generous Washington defense with that volume.
Christian Kirk, ARI - I like DeAndre Hopkins a good bit in this one, too, but if we’re shooting for the stars, I’m going with Christian Kirk out of the slot. In slot coverage this season, Troy Hill has allowed the fifth-most yards in coverage and a 89.2 passer rating when targeted, per PFF. Rather than attacking Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams, why not go inside? That’s what I would be thinking at least. Kirk has caught nearly 93 percent of his targets over the last three weeks and has an impressive 1.87 yards per route run metric, per PFF.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET - I highly doubt we see Tyrell Williams this week, and Quintez Cephus suffered an unfortunate injury last week. So, Kalif Raymond, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Khadarel Hodge look to serve as the team’s regular receivers in this matchup. Raymond has just one more target than St. Brown over the last three weeks, but St. Brown has been far more efficient, hauling in 14 of his 17 targets. He doesn’t have an overly impressive aDOT, but he can move around the offense and his efficiency should play well on DraftKings, thanks to its full PPR scoring method.
Odell Beckham Jr., CLE - It’s a good matchup against Arizona, don’t get me wrong, but the star receiver has caught just 47.4 percent of his targets over the last three weeks. Cleveland is spreading the ball all around, and Baker Mayfield has a 68.8 passer rating when targeting Beckham. I don’t love the fact that from a passer rating perspective, of players with at least six targets from Mayfield over the past three weeks, that Beckham is ranked sixth out of six. The juice isn’t worth the squeeze, my friends.