Top Tier
Chris Godwin, TB - Over Tampa Bay’s last two games, Godwin is averaging eight grabs for 125.5 yards and one touchdown PER GAME. In the past three weeks of the season, Godwin has the sixth-most receiving yards, and he’s only played twice. Washington has allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to receivers this season, and another Antonio Brown-less game should mean big time production from Godwin. UPDATE: Godwin is expected to play in this one. Given his availability to practice, I would prefer Evans this week.
Keenan Allen, LAC - I was a huge Mike Williams truther coming into the year, and I still am, but in Week 10, it’s going to be the Keenan Allen show. Over the team’s last two games, Allen has more than doubled Williams’ targets, amassing an insane 35 percent target share in that span. The Vikings have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing receivers over the last four weeks, and you can beat Minnesota through the air. Fortunately for us, Los Angeles loves to throw it. UPDATE: Allen missed some practice time but returned in a limited fashion on Thursday. I’m not concerned.
Michael Pittman Jr., - Fading Pittman at this point just seems flat out stupid. He’s scored four times over the past four weeks and has a 23 percent target share during that span. The Jaguars have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers this season, and that mark would be a lot higher if it weren’t for just six receiving scores against them. Don’t worry, Pittman will score on Sunday.
Terry McLaurin, WFT - If stacking the Tampa Bay passing attack, which I’m in full support of in Week 10, bringing it back with McLaurin isn’t a bad way to go. Sure, his last game was less than stellar, catching just three balls for 23 yards against Denver. However, even with Tampa Bay’s defense getting healthier, game script should be in his favor, and when you give McLaurin double-digit targets, he rarely disappoints. McLaurin has four games with double-digit targets this season, he has at least 107 yards and a touchdown in three of them.
Mid Tier
CeeDeeLamb & Amari Cooper, DAL- On FanDuel I prefer Lamb for just $400 more, but on DraftKings, the $800 drop down to Cooper is quite nice for the pocketbook. The Falcons are league-average in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, but they have allowed 11 touchdowns to the position this season. After last week’s clunker, expect Dallas to come out hot, and look to stick a 40-burger on the board against the Falcons.
Mike Evans, TB - In the two games that Antonio Brown has missed, Evans is averaging a healthy 15.2 air yards per target. Only the Titans have allowed more fantasy points per game to opposing receivers than the Football Team, and in terms of DVOA against the opposition’s WR1, they rank 21st. With Chris Godwin banged up, Evans is as good a play as any.
Jerry Jeudy, DEN - If you’re a receiver going up against the Eagles and you won’t see much of Darius Slay, you have my attention. Jeudy hasn’t had a monster performance since returning from injury, but he’s averaging six targets per game over the last two games, and the Eagles have allowed the ninth-most receptions — and 10th-most yards — to receivers over the last four weeks. Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick can have fun with Darius Slay on the outside, and let Jeudy feast out of the slot.
Value Tier
Jamal Agnew, JAC - Over the team’s last three games, Agnew is tied with Marvin Jones for the team-lead in targets amongst receivers, and while Agnew isn’t exactly an air yards extraordinaire, he fills a nice void in the Jacksonville passing attack. This is a juicy matchup against an Indianapolis defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers in 2021.
Kalif Raymond, DET - Raymond should see a good bit of Cameron Sutton this weekend, and do you know what that means? If you guessed good production at a reasonable price point in DFS, you guessed correctly. Prior to just one target in the blowout against Philadelphia, Raymond had six or more targets in four of the five games prior, including a 115-yard effort against the Rams. It’s not a flashy pick, but you don’t get many WR1’s for under $5,000 on DraftKings.
Fade
Marvin Jones, JAC - Good matchup? Yes. Target share? Yes. In terms of production per dollar, I think I’d rather play Agnew and Laviska Shenault instead of Jones. I mean, why pay over $1,000 more for Jones when you can have Agnew or Shenault for under $5,000 on DraftKings? I get that it is fake money, but let’s be thrifty with the Jacksonville passing attack this week.