What better way to start off the week than with a 10-game MLB DFS main slate? All three major sites are kicking things off at 7:05 on the east coast, and as always, we need to stay up to date on all of the latest MLB news and MLB weather. Tonight’s MLB lineups should offer up a multitude of MLB DFS value plays so let’s dig into some top fantasy baseball picks to finish in the green. 

 

 

DFS Value Pitchers

 

Marco Gonzales (SEA); DraftKings - $5,300; FanDuel - $8,200; Yahoo - $36

Any time we get a pitcher facing Oakland, it becomes a streaming opportunity, and Gonzales’ price is simply way too low on DK and quite reasonable on the other two sites. The A’s are hitting just .206 on the season with a wRC+ of only 79, and tonight Gonzales is in place to take advantage. However, we are playing with a little bit of fire here as there is a wide disparity between Gonzales’ 3.08 ERA and 5.17 xERA and he is only striking out 5.68 batters per nine innings. But if there was ever a time to roll with the southpaw, tonight would be it and he certainly is getting results so far this year. 

 

 

Zach Davies (ARI); DraftKings - $6,000; FanDuel - $7,300; Yahoo - $27

Another offense I feel comfortable targeting is Kansas City, and Davies has been a solid option so far this season. You are going to have to look for true upside elsewhere, but with a 4.35 ERA (3.82 xERA), there are a lot worse options than Davies. The fact that he only strikes out about seven batters per nine innings is problematic from a DFS perspective. Davies has found success by limiting the quality of the contact against him as opposing hitters have a barrel rate of just 5.9% and a hard-hit rate of only 28.6% along with an 85.6 mile per hour average exit velocity. All three marks are career bests, and it is a large factor in Davies’ success. 

 

DFS Value Hitters

 

Amed Rosario, SS/OF (CLE); DraftKings - $3,800; FanDuel - $2,300; Yahoo - $11

While he is a strong pitcher, Luis García is also hittable and there is a notable salary gap between DK and the other two sites tonight. Rosario has hits in four of his last five games, along with two stolen bases, to bring his average up to .242 on the season but, with a strikeout rate of just 12.8%, he does a good job of putting the bat on the ball. Batting at the top of Cleveland’s lineup has been good for Rosario resulting in 16 runs scored on the season, and if the Guardians get anything going, Rosario figures to be a part of it. 

 

 

Pavin Smith, 1B/OF (ARI); DraftKings - $3,400; FanDuel - $2,300; Yahoo - $11

Despite his 3.48 ERA, you don’t have to really twist my arm to target Zack Greinke as his 5.20 xERA shows that some trouble is on the horizon. Smith has at least one hit in eight of his 10 games as he appears to be finding some consistency after hitting .276 in April. Strikeouts are an issue, 30.9% of the time, but Smith does have 17 RBI and four home runs so far this season. Perhaps most appealing here, is Smith’s 13.8% barrel-rate as he does make solid contact. 

 

 

Javier Báez, 2B/SS (DET); FanDuel - $2,500; Yahoo - $8

It just feels strange to see Baez this cheap, but the fact that his home run on Sunday was only his third on the season (in 127 plate appearances) is equally as weird. Things just aren’t going well for Baez in his first season for the Tigers, but there is no disputing the talent and upside. Plus, is anyone really concerned about going against Chris Archer? From a power and Statcast perspective, Baez isn't hitting at levels we previously saw from him, but there is the possibility that yesterday’s long ball gets the infielder going. Take the bargain compared to his price on DK ($4,500) and invest elsewhere tonight as there certainly will be other opportunities to spend that money. 

 

 

Adley Rutschman, C (BAL); DraftKings - $2,000; FanDuel - $2,500; Yahoo - $14

The rookie made his much-anticipated debut over the weekend and promptly picked up a hit in each game. We know all about the track record here, and Rutschman is only going to get more expensive moving forward. Baltimore is committed to playing their top prospect regularly, and he has made his presence felt. Getting a minimum priced catcher on DK is always going to be a nice start to your lineup build. 

 

 

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