MMA DFS Playbook: UFC 276
UFC 276 is a loaded fight card. There's a heavy presence from City Kickboxing given their two champs are in action. UFC matchmakers really emptied the clip on this one. There's been plenty of fight week drama as well, thanks to Sean Strickland. We won't embed the link due to foul language, but you can click here to see some banter between Strickland and Israel Adesanya.
| Main Event | |||||
| Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
| Israel Adesanya vs Jared Cannonier | 9400/6800 | - | Stackability: Moderate | -475/ +380 | +140/+550 |
| Despite a lack of hype, this is an exciting fight. There are few fighters that can match some of Izzy's athleticism but Cannonier can. He's also got devastating power if he were able to catch up to Izzy at some point. What he can't do is match technique. Few can. Izzy likely controls distance and fights his fight but Jared is live as long as he's upright. | |||||
| Expensive | |||||
| Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
| Alexander Volkanovski | 9000 | Max Holloway | Somewhat-Safe | -200 | +330 |
| It's hard to argue that Volk wants to win in a way most others just can't duplicate. He's fought through extreme adversity in two straight fights. He's also taken two close wins from Max. Simply put, the winner of this fight is a must have. | |||||
| Sean O'Malley | 9300 | Pedro Munhoz | Somewhat-Safe | -295 | +130 |
| O'Malley has some silky smooth striking. His range and speed are a nightmare to solve. Munhoz is also someone often willing to be hit to engage. That's a bad recipe. | |||||
| Andre Muniz | 9200 | Uriah Hall | Somewhat-Safe | -320 | -200 |
| There's no denying how Muniz wants to win. He's looking to attack with elite BJJ at every turn. His striking is a work in progress but Hall has typically struggled to keep up with grapplers. | |||||
| Maycee Barber | 9100 | Jessica Eye | Moderate | -285 | +300 |
| This an odd price for Barber coming in on short notice in a fairly even seeming fight. Her upside is that Eye rarely wrestles so Barber may be able to let her hands go and get back to finishing ways. | |||||
| Mid-Range | |||||
| Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
| Jalin Turner | 8400 | Brad Riddell | Moderate | -150 | +110 |
| Turner is aptly named the Tarantula. He's all over opponents with his length both on the feet and the mat. Riddell is tough as nails but that may not be enough with what Turner brings to the table. | |||||
| Alex Pereira | 8300 | Sean Strickland | Moderate | +100 | +165 |
| Pereira is a deadly kickboxer acclimating to MMA on the fly. It's been up and down but he's going to take a leap at some point. If Strickland can't or won't wrestle we're in for a fun striking affair. | |||||
| Ian Garry | 8800 | Gabe Green | Somewhat-Risky | -175 | +200 |
| Garry has striking that's developing but backs it up with power. He's shown good toughness in some tight spots, as well. The big knock on him is an upright stance and tall frame that's easy to tee off on. | |||||
| Jim Miller | 8700 | Donald Cerrone | Somewhat-Risky | -190 | +110 |
| Coming in on short notice probably makes Miller more boom or bust than he already is. Cowboy has also cut weight twice in a month now. It's a shame he's this expensive. | |||||
| Robbie Lawler | 8500 | Bryan Barberena | Somewhat-Risky | -125 | +330 |
| Lawler is in the twilight of his career so it's very hard to trust what version shows up. He's always in great shape but the skills are eroding. He overwhelmed an out of shape Nick Diaz but also ate some shots. That won't fly against legit opponents. Good thing Bam Bam is also washed. Assuming he doesn't show up in perfect shape Lawler probably volumes his way to the win. | |||||
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 8600 | Julija Stoliarenko | Somewhat-Risky | -150 | +425 |
| Clark is a body builder who also fights. Her striking is solid and she can wrestle some. Stoli has been mostly awful in the UFC so the expectation is a dominant performance from Jessie Jess. | |||||
| Dricus Du Plessis | 8000 | Brad Tavares | Risky | -150 | +130 |
| I think Dricus's lack of technique catches up to him here but there's no denying the power he weilds. If his awkward style gives Tavares any trouble there will be openings for a man that's a proven finisher. | |||||
| Pay-Downs | |||||
| Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
| Max Holloway | 7200 | Alexander Volkanovski | Somewhat-Risky | +170 | +500 |
| Max pushes a pace that's beyond elite. Volk has been one of the few fighters who can match him. Max was pretty close to winning the last fight so a slight adjustment can maybe get it done. If Max wins at this price it will be an all-time DFS value. | |||||
| Sean Strickland | 7900 | Alex Pereira | Somewhat-Risky | -120 | +250 |
| If Strickland weren't a Neanderthal he'd decide to wrestle Pereira and submit him. He's so arrogant he may just box with him. That could be a fatal mistake. Strickland does have very good MMA boxing but Pereira is on another level. | |||||
| Brad Riddell | 7800 | Jalin Turner | Somewhat-Risky | +130 | +275 |
| Riddell is an elite kickboxer who's also embraced wrestling as he's learned it. His best path here is weathering the first round storm and gassing Turner out with pace. | |||||
| Gabe Green | 7400 | Ian Garry | Risky | +150 | +350 |
| Green is a journeyman but comes to throw down usually. He pushes pace and tries to overwhelm opponents. That leaves him open to counters. Garry stands upright with his chin hanging up there for someone to clip, though. Maybe Gabe can crack it. | |||||
| Pedro Munhoz | 6900 | Sean O'Malley | Risky | +245 | +500 |
| The two knocks on O'Malley are a possible lack of toughness and skinny legs that get hurt easily. Munhoz can push him on both of those fronts. It's an uphill battle but Munhoz is as tough as they come. | |||||
| Uriah Hall | 7000 | Andre Muniz | Risky | +265 | +380 |
| Hall has been improving his defensive wrestling over the past few years. If he's able to avoid spending time on the mat with Muniz he can expose some raw striking. Plus Hall has that crazy dynamic knockout potential lurking all the time. | |||||
| Bryan Barberena | 7700 | Robbie Lawler | Risky | +105 | +330 |
| Barbs is trying to make what money he can before the wheels fall off. So much seems to depend on whether he had a healthy camp at this point. If he can hang with Lawler early he may have success later as a rock em sock em robot. | |||||
| Julija Stoliarenko | 7600 | Jessica-Rose Clark | Risky | +130 | +330 |
| There hasn't been too much to like about Stoli's UFC run but she is tough and determined. She also fishes for armbars frequently. Clark is certainly not above getting caught in a hailmary sub from bottom. | |||||
EXAMPLE LINEUP
Always remember the Example Lineup is not meant to be plugged and played. It's a way to see how to build a lineup based on the Playbook above. This is a PPV card which means there will be variance and there are only 12 fights. There are numerous paths to building a Cash lineup tonight and you have to get a little weird if you want to solo shot your way to a DFS takedown in a GPP.
Live Dogs: Holloway, Pereira, Riddell, Tavares, Green, Hall, Munhoz
Stats & Picks
| Israel Adesanya | vs | Jared Cannonier |
| $9,400 | DFS Salary | $6,800 |
| Record: 22-1-0 | Record | Record: 15-5-0 |
| Loading... | Knockouts | Loading... |
| Subs | ||
| -475 | Vegas Odds | +380 |
| 5/10 | Lineup Pool | 3/10 |
| Alexander Volkanovski | vs | Max Holloway |
| $9,000 | DFS Salary | $7,200 |
| Record: 24-1-0 | Record | Record: 23-6-0 |
| 12 | Knockouts | 10 |
| 3 | Subs | 2 |
| -200 | Vegas Odds | +170 |
| 5/10 | Lineup Pool | 6/10 |
| Sean Strickland | vs | Alex Pereira |
| $7,900 | DFS Salary | $8,300 |
| Record: 25-3-0 | Record | Record: 5-1-0 |
| Loading... | Knockouts | 4 |
| Subs | 0 | |
| -120 | Vegas Odds | +100 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
| Robbie Lawler | vs | Bryan Barberena |
| $8,500 | DFS Salary | $7,700 |
| Record: 29-15-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 17-8-0 |
| Loading... | Knockouts | Loading... |
| Subs | ||
| -125 | Vegas Odds | +105 |
| 6/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
| Pedro Munhoz | vs | Sean O'Malley |
| $6,900 | DFS Salary | $9,300 |
| Record: 19-7-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 15-1-0 |
| 5 | Knockouts | Loading... |
| 8 | Subs | |
| +245 | Vegas Odds | -295 |
| 5/10 | Lineup Pool2 | 5/10 |
| 0 | ||
| Brad Riddell | vs | Jalin Turner |
| $7,800 | DFS Salary | $8,400 |
| Record: 10-2-0 | Record | Record: 12-5-0 |
| Loading... | Knockouts | Loading... |
| Subs | ||
| +130 | Vegas Odds | -150 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 6/10 |
| Jim Miller | vs | Donald Cerrone |
| $8,700 | DFS Salary | $7,500 |
| Record: 34-16-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 36-16-0 (2 NC) |
| 6 | Knockouts | 10 |
| 18 | Subs | 2 |
| -190 | Vegas Odds | +160 |
| 5/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
| Ian Garry | vs | Gabe Green |
| $8,800 | DFS Salary | $7,400 |
| Record: 9-0-0 | Record | Record: 11-3-0 |
| 5 | Knockouts | Loading... |
| 1 | Subs | |
| -175 | Vegas Odds | +150 |
| 5/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
| Brad Tavares | vs | Dricus Du Plessis |
| $8,200 | DFS Salary | $8,000 |
| Record: 19-7-0 | Record | Record: 16-2-0 |
| 5 | Knockouts | Loading... |
| 2 | Subs | |
| +130 | Vegas Odds | -150 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
| Uriah Hall | vs | Andre Muniz |
| $7,000 | DFS Salary | $9,200 |
| Record: 18-10-0 | Record | Record: 22-4-0 |
| 13 | Knockouts | 4 |
| 1 | Subs | 15 |
| +265 | Vegas Odds | -320 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 5/10 |
| Jessica Eye | vs | Maycee Barber |
| $7,100 | DFS Salary | $9,100 |
| Record: 15-10-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 10-2-0 |
| 3 | Knockouts | Loading... |
| 1 | Subs | |
| +240 | Vegas Odds | -285 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
| Jessica-Rose Clark | vs | Julija Stoliarenko |
| $8,600 | DFS Salary | $7,600 |
| Record: 11-7-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 9-7-2 |
| Loading... | Knockouts | 0 |
| Subs | 8 | |
| -150 | Vegas Odds | +130 |
| 4/10 | Lineup Pool | 4/10 |
Fantasy Alarm is the home of all things Fantasy Sports. Bringing you the best Fantasy Football content all year long. Be sure to also check out the best fantasy promo codes on offer today!