WNBA DFS Playbook June 25: Arike Ogunbowale A Near Lock
Saturday’s WNBA DFS slate may be the most challenging slate of the season. There are very few injuries, and if two questionable rotation players are healthy enough to go, there could be a complete dearth of value plays. When that is the case, it is often best to go with several mid-priced options, but those players look particularly risky Saturday. The good news is that there are some good matchups, with four of the teams on the slate in the top six in opponents’ points. Of course, Seattle and Washington have allowed the fewest points in the league this season, so I’ll mostly look to avoid those matchups.
Guards | ||||||
Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
Ty Harris | DAL | PHO | 4100 | 10.91 | ### | 10.62 |
Harris played 22 minutes and scored 15.25 fantasy points against Indiana Thursday, and she has a good chance to top those numbers if Allisha Gray is out. Whoever starts in Gray's place will be an obvious fantasy play but I would consider Harris even off the bench. Dallas likes to have three guards on the floor even in bench lineups and Phoenix is 10th in fantasy points allowed to guards. | ||||||
Arike Ogunbowale | DAL | PHO | #### | 31.31 | ### | 29.77 |
We avoided a potential landmine last week against Atlanta, and I think Ogunbowale is safe for a little while. She has at least 32 fantasy points in seven of her nine games in June and she is averaging 46.6 fatnasy points against Phoenix this season. Phoenix struggles against guards and Ogunbowale is no exception. | ||||||
Jackie Young | LV | WAS | #### | 33.16 | ### | 33.38 |
Young struggled in her first two games back from an ankle injury but bounced back with 43.75 fantasy points in 37 minutes against the Sky Tuesday. Her price hasn't quite caught up on FanDuel, but I think she's playable on DK as well. | ||||||
Kristi Toliver | LA | SEA | 5000 | 11.58 | ### | 9.87 |
Toliver has gotten off to a slow start after beginning the season late, and while it is possible the 35-year-old is just done, I'm willing to take a chance on someone who has played 26 minutes in each of her last two games. Value plays are hard to come by barring some surprise absences, and Toliver just needs to knock down a few shots to provide value. | ||||||
Sue Bird | SEA | LA | 7800 | 23.92 | ### | 23.09 |
How many Storm players in one lineup is too many? We might find out on Saturday. The Sparks are last in fantasy points allowed to guards and Bird has at least 20 fantasy points in five straight games and eight of her last nine. I'll probably try to go more stars-and-scrubs but if I need a mid-priced guard, Bird looks like she has the highest floor. |
Forwards | ||||||
Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa | LA | SEA | 4600 | 7.18 | ### | 7.63 |
With Chiney Ogwumike out Thursday, Nelson-Ododa scored 19 fantasy points in 19 minutes. She might have played fewer minutes if the game was close, but she should be safe when Chiney is out. The Sparks could easily get blown out in Seattle Saturday. | ||||||
Liz Cambage | LA | SEA | 8500 | 28.44 | ### | 29.35 |
This is a dart throw but if it hits, it could pay off in a big way for tournaments. In a shocking turn of events, Cambage has played fewer minutes and done worse in those minutes since Derek Fisher left. That being said, they really need her to play 30ish minutes Saturday if Chiney Ogwumike is out. Cambage scored 40.5 fantasy points in 32 minutes against Seattle last month and she is the cheapest forward on the DK slate who boasts that kind of upside. | ||||||
Elena Delle Donne | WAS | LV | 9900 | 29 | ### | 29.01 |
Delle Donne's production has been down of late due to a combination of injuries and tough matchups. Las Vegas looks like a tough matchup on paper but they are 11th in fantasy points allowed to forwards. Delle Donne had 36.25 fantasy points in 29 minutes against Vegas at the start of the season and if she repeats that performance, she is too cheap on FanDuel. | ||||||
Teaira McCowan | DAL | PHO | 5800 | 11.95 | ### | 11.19 |
McCowan scored 30 fantasy points in 15 minutes against her former team Thursday, and she had 34.5 fantasy points in 25 minutes against Phoenix last week. McCowan is averaging 0.99 fantasy points per minute and she could see more minutes if Allisha Gray is out and Dallas goes away from its three guard lineups. McCowan is a GPP play unless she joins the starting lineup. | ||||||
Tina Charles | PHO | DAL | #### | 32.38 | ### | 31.39 |
Dallas is 11th in fantasy points allowed to forwards, and Charles is averaging 38.8 fantasy points in two games against them. Breanna Stewart is probably safer but Charles is more affordable, especially on FD. |
Draftkings Core Plays | ||
Top Tier | Breanna Stewart | $11,300 |
Arike Ogunbowale | $11,100 | |
Mid Tier | Teaira McCowan | $5,800 |
Liz Cambage | $8,500 | |
Value Tier | Ty Harris | $4,100 |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa | $4,600 | |
Fanduel Core Plays | ||
Top Tier | Arike Ogunbowale | $7,700 |
Tina Charles | $8,400 | |
Mid Tier | Jackie Young | $6,900 |
Elena Delle Donne | $7,200 | |
Value Tier | Kristi Toliver | $3,500 |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa | $3,300 |
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