2024 Player Outlook
What a start to his Jets career, right? Aaron Rodgers was the story of the 2023 offseason as he leaves Green Bay and heads to the New York Jets. All the hype and the spotlight was on the Jets in primetime and his season ended in two plays as he suffered a ruptured achilles. So, what do we have now? Well, Rodgers is 40 years old and coming off of a pretty major injury. Yes, Rodgers was seemingly close, but not really close, to returning last season and he has since had the entire offseason as well to rehab and get ready for the season. Where do we draft Rodgers? What do we expect? Those are some real questions that need to be answered. We know he has the offensive weapons around him with Garrett Wilson at receiver and Breece Hall at running back, both among the tops at their position. The team also signed Mike Williams in free agency as he leaves the Chargers following his own season ending injury. Truthfully, I'm more bearish than bullish on Aaron Rodgers and if I'm looking for him as my starting QB in 2024, I'm likely taking another QB right after him as a safety net.
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The Athletic’s Mike DeFabo believes the Steelers will “limit [Aaron Rodgers’] exposure” in 2025.
Rodgers, who signed a one-year deal with the Steelers last week, said he joined the team for 2025 because it was “best for my soul.” He’ll take over under center for the run-centric Arthur Smith offense that last season ranked 20th in EPA per play. “Rodgers, who still has some juice left in his right arm and displayed a quick release at practice, also is in a more stable and supportive environment for a QB than in New York,” DeFabo said. “Theoretically, he won’t have as much pressure to win games only with his right arm on a team that employs the NFL’s highest-paid defense and features a run-heavy offense that will limit his exposure.” Look for Smith and the Steelers to use plenty of play action — which Rodgers does not prefer — and ask Rodgers to make easy throws while leaning hard on the run. He’ll have precious little fantasy upside in 2025.
Steelers signed QB Aaron Rodgers, formerly of the Jets, to a one-year, $13.65 million contract.
The deal includes $10 million in guaranteed money and $5.85 million in playing time and team performance incentives, bringing the potential total value to $19.5 million. It was previously reported that Rodgers would play for around $10 million this season with his new deal in Pittsburgh bringing that much in guarantees. The veteran quarterback would have made $37.5 million playing with the Jets this season, but the team has since moved on in favor of a cheaper contract with Justin Fields. Rodgers should not be expected to throw more than 30-33 times per-game based on the strength of Pittsburgh’s outstanding defense, which limits his fantasy appeal to deeper leagues and two-quarterback formats.
NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport believes Aaron Rodgers’ contract with the Steelers is not a “big money deal.”
Speaking on Good Morning Football, Rapoport noted that Rodgers once said he would play this season for $10 million. While the exact terms of Rodgers’ deal are not yet known, Rapoport believes his deal will closely resemble the $10 million figure, with Rodgers having the opportunity to earn more through incentives. Rodgers isn’t coming to the Steelers to cash in on one last payday, but rather compete for what he hopes is another championship. Whether or not that comes with the Steelers is to be determined, but the future Hall of Famer is clearly willing to take a pay cut to find out, and the Steelers are just as desperate to see what he can offer over the likes of Mason Rudolph and rookie Will Howard.
Steelers agreed to terms with QB Aaron Rodgers one a one-year contract.
The team itself used the “agreed to terms” lingo, stressing the deal was contingent on a physical. Nevertheless, the Steelers know what they are getting into. The 41-year-old will pass his examination and get to work replacing last year’s Justin Fields/Russell Wilson combination. Rodgers appeared in physical free-fall last season, but he still remained more middle of the pack in most advanced metrics. Rodgers did struggle over the middle of the field, though that is not where the Steelers’ primary weapons roam. Rodgers will obviously struggle for top-20 fantasy value himself. The question is if he can keep DK Metcalf in the top 18 at receiver, or perhaps make Pat Freiermuth a more consistent option. We are not holding our breath.
DFS Last 5
Week | Date | Opponent | Pts |
---|---|---|---|
18 | Jan 1/5/20255 | Bengals | |
17 | Dec 12/25/2024360 | Chiefs | |
16 | Dec 12/21/2024356 | @Ravens | |
15 | Dec 12/15/2024350 | @Eagles | |
14 | Dec 12/8/2024343 | Browns | |
13 | Dec 12/1/2024336 | @Bengals |