2024 Player Outlook
2023 had the making of another big season for Kirk but unfortunately a Week 13 injury ended his season early. Through 12 games Kirk was productive, catching 57 passes for 787 yards and three touchdowns which had him on a full season pace for 81 catches, 1,115 yards and four scores which closely mirrored his break out 2022 debut season with the Jaguars. The 2024 season sees Calvin Ridley and Zay Jones exit and first round pick Brian Thomas Jr. along with free agent signee Gabe Davis join the mix. No doubt that Thomas has the potential to be an instant playmaker in the league but Davis is really just a downfield guy which, in my opinion, should continue to keep Kirk front and center in the Jacksonville passing attack. The hope here is that Trevor Lawrence, in year four, can take that next leap forward into the upper tier of QB's and this offense will really score some points.
Player News
The Houston Chronicle’s Jonathan M. Alexander reports that rookie WRs Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel will have opportunities “to carve out roles early on behind Nico Collins and Christian Kirk.”
The report affirms Kirk’s position in the target pecking order, placing him ahead of Higgins and Noel, who were drafted in the second and third rounds, respectively, just two weeks ago. Kirk is scheduled to hit free agency in 2026, and while Higgins and Noel currently profile as the potential long-term Nos. 2 and 3 wide receivers, Texans coaches will not simply gift those roles to the intriguing Iowa State alums. Kirk’s status as a 2025 PPR scam option remains intact at this time. Higgins likely has the easier path to year one fantasy relevance than Noel, with Higgins profiling as a perimeter option for when Kirk kicks inside to the slot in three-wide receiver sets.
ESPN’s DJ Bien-Aime reports that the Texans are “expected to add receivers” in the 2025 NFL Draft.
The Texans’ wide receiver group is murky beyond star No. 1 wide receiver Nico Collins. Stefon Diggs departed via free agency, and Tank Dell’s expected return date remains unknown following his 2024 knee dislocation and multi-ligament tear. The team initially addressed the effective losses of their Nos. 2 and 3 wide receivers by trading for former Jaguars slot receiver Christian Kirk and signing both Justin Watson and Braxton Berrios, who is recovering from an ACL tear of his own. Kirk is currently penciled in as the second-most fantasy-relevant player in the group, but the Texans’ reported intent to draft multiple wide receivers this year could reduce Kirk’s fantasy potential. While Collins remains a safe bet to return WR1 value, Kirk’s weekly WR4/flex performances could become slightly more volatile due to increased target competition.
Texans restructured WR Christian Kirk’s contract.
A week after acquiring Kirk from the Jaguars in exchange for a 2026 seventh-round pick, the Texans have converted $14 million of his $15.5 million base salary into a signing bonus to clear $12 million in cap for this upcoming season. With Tank Dell (knee) likely to miss most or all of the 2025 season, Kirk will be tasked with playing a significant role in Houston’s passing game. While he didn’t live up to the lofty expectations the Jaguars placed on him when they signed him to a four-year, $72 million contract in 2022, Kirk, 28, still averaged 61.5 yards per game with the Jaguars in his three seasons while being targeted on 20.5 percent of his routes. Playing opposite Nico Collins, Kirk’s fantasy ceiling will be limited, but he should provide a decent floor as a PPR scam if Houston doesn’t add any other receivers of note.
Jaguars traded WR Christian Kirk in exchange for a 2026 seventh-round pick.
A day after learning he would be released, Kirk now has a new home in Houston. The wide receiver-needy Texans gave up virtually nothing to acquire the veteran slot receiver, who is on the final year of a four-year, $72 million deal he signed in 2022, and will hope he can make for an adequate pairing with Nico Collins. Kirk underperformed his contract while with the Jaguars, catching 168 passes for 2,274 yards and 12 touchdowns in 37 games, as his last two years have been plagued with injuries. Kirk has played over 75 percent of his snaps from the slot since 2021 and will likely play a similar role for the Texans next season. While he should make for a solid addition, the Texans would still benefit from adding another outside receiver this offseason.
DFS Last 5
Week | Date | Opponent | Pts |
---|---|---|---|
18 | Jan 1/5/20255 | @Titans | |
17 | Dec 12/25/2024360 | Ravens | |
16 | Dec 12/21/2024356 | @Chiefs | |
15 | Dec 12/15/2024350 | Dolphins | |
13 | Dec 12/1/2024336 | @Jaguars |