(-165) Gen.G v MAD Lions (+125)

(+160) Team Liquid v LNG Esports (+160)

(-115) Gen.G v LNG Esports (-115)

(-175) MAD Lions v Team Liquid (+135)

(+165) Team Liquid v Gen.G (-220)

(+125) MAD Lions v LNG Esports (-165)


The final day of the Group Stage is upon us. We see the final four teams jockey for two remaining spots in the Knockout Round. With the most competitive group yet to play, each team has the opportunity to win the group. The most pressure will be on LPL representative LNG due to the fact that the LPL has widely fallen short of expectations so far. Team Liquid and MAD Lions look to replicate the miracle run of C9 and be another Western team to advance from the group stage. Everything is on the line, who rises to the challenge? Let’s dive in!
 

Cann’s Final Prediction for Group D

  1. Gen.G (4-2, Win on a tiebreaker)
  2. Team Liquid (4-2)
  3. LNG Esports (2-4)
  4. MAD Lions (2-4)


Fantasy Value Breakdown

Captain

Favorite: Bdd (GEN: $11,100) Bdd has disappeared at times throughout his career, and usually it is at some really inopportune times for Gen.G. Watching him play as well as how Gen.G was using him makes me feel really comfortable with this pick. He had a 70% team kill participation through the first three games an a combined 35 kills/assists. Gen.G look really good (as do all LCK teams) and I only see them realistically dropping maybe one game on Monday. 

Value Pick: Tactical (TL: $10,200)

Top Lane

Favorite: Rascal (GEN: $6,800) I would argue this isn’t the highest ceiling from any of the players on this slate, but he is the most consistent. With a 3.0 KDA and a 66% team kill participation rate, Rascal fits perfectly into the LCK top laner mold. Don’t make mistakes in lane, impact the mid game with solid rotations, and look to engage fights for your team. Check, check, and check. 

Value Pick: Alphari (TL: $5,800) 

Jungle

Favorite: Tarzan (LNG: $6,800) I still think LNG’s chances of getting out of the group rests with the ability of Tarzan to carry this team. Their highs, are his highs and that is a lot to put on someone. With the LPL struggling this week, this could mean a lot for Tarzan to come out had have a good game. Look for aggressive picks out of the 9.0 KDA jungler and to have LNG use their laners to help get Tarzan ahead. 

Value Pick: Elyoya (MAD: $7,000) 

Mid Lane

Favorite: Humanoid (MAD: $7,000) Humanoid had a very uncharacteristic first round robin. He had very high average death numbers (4 per game) to relatively low kill numbers (3 per game). MAD Lions are the #1 seed in this group for a reason and it has a lot to do with Humanoid being a better player than those averages. I am not sure if the MAD Lions will be able to punch their way through the group stage, but there is no reason to think that Humanoid will continue to play at such a low standard.  

Value Pick: Jensen (TL: $6,800)   

ADC

Favorite:Ruler (GEN: $7,600) Ruler had the high kill production of Carzzy (10 kills and 18+ assists) without the liability of Carzzy (4 deaths to 10 for Carzzy). Gen.G heavily uses their bottom lane in the late game and their late game team fighting is so good. In fact, their reliance on teamfighting is seen as a liability at points. They will hesitate to fight unless it is an ideal fight. This means that if Ruler is in a late game teamfight, you will be cashing in.  

Value Pick: Crazy (MAD: $7,200) 

Support

Favorite: Life (GEN: $5,600) Double up on the Gen.G bot lane. They don’t get rolled over in lane and you get to see them shine in objective teamfights. He has 26 assists in the first half of the group stage which is second most amongst those in the support position. I do hate his Amumu pick, and I am hoping we are done seeing that, even though he did beat TL with it. 

Value Pick: CoreJJ (TL:$5,000) 

Team

Favorite: Gen.G ($5,200)  This is the favorite in the group. They look the strongest and the LCK looks like the strongest region in the tournament. Both of Gen.G’s wins have come in as sub 40 min wins and their win against LNG was 23 minutes. They will control the pace of the game and limit mistakes that could allow enemies back into the game. 

Value Pick: Team Liquid ($4,400) 

 

Cann’s Example Lineup

DraftKings Classic 

$50,000 Salary Cap

Captain (x1.5): Tactical ($10,200)

Alternate: Elyoya ($10,500)

Top: Rascal ($6,800)

Jungle: Tarzan ($6,800)

Alternate: Santorin ($6,600)
Mid: Jensen ($6,800)

ADC: Ruler ($7,600)

Alternate: Carzzy ($7,200)

Support: CoreJJ ($5,000)

Team: Gen.G ($5,200)