Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox

O/U: 9

Spread: BOS -120

Pitchers

Nathan Eovaldi, BOS

We’ve gotten the best version of Nathan Eovaldi in recent months and he has been striking everyone out. He’s missing bats left and right, striking out six or more batters in 15 of his last 17 starts. Tampa Bay strikes out at a 24.4% clip versus right-handed pitching this year, which is the ninth most in the league. It’s hard not to like Eovaldi at home here, even against the potent Rays offense. 

Drew Rasmussen, TB

It’s interesting to see Rasmussen starting Game 3 until you look at how good he’s been. He’s allowed two earned or fewer in 10 straight outings and has a sub two ERA as a starter this year. The problem with using Rasmussen in DFS is that he doesn’t strike many people out. He had a 29% K-rate as a reliever but that’s dipped to 18% as a starter.

Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox

O/U: 8.5

Spread: CWS -125

Pitchers

Luis García, HOU

One of the underrated pitchers this year and he’s the Astros third starter. Just think about how dangerous they are when you have a guy like Garcia heading to the mound in Game 3 of a playoff series. The Astros could close this series out in Chicago on Sunday, but one thing to note is how bad Garcia has been away from home this year. He pitched to a 2.39 ERA at home but 4.25 on the road. His K-rate was down on the road, the home runs allowed were up. Scary proposition and I think it’s correlated to the White Sox being favored here.

Dylan Cease, CWS

Cease has as high of a ceiling as almost everyone, but he has a very low floor and that is quite scary against an offense like Houston’s. Cease comes into this start in great form, allowing just one earned run over his last 14.1 IP while striking 24 batters while walking just four. Over the last 30 days, Houston’s OPS of .822 is third in the league. They also happen to be third in wOBA and fourth in ISO. Houston has owned Cease this year, beating him twice as he’s allowed nine earned runs over 10 innings pitched against them.

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