Welcome to the Week 1 DFS Watch List, #FANation!
If you've been with us for the past few years, you know what this is all about. Feel free to skip the intro and start diving into the players. If you're new to these parts, well then give the following a quick read and acquaint yourself with our DFS process here.
“If you give a man a fish, he’ll eat for a day. If you teach a man to fish, he’ll eat for a lifetime.”
We take this adage to heart when it comes to playing NFL DFS. The Fantasy Alarm Playbook isn’t just about handing you a list of players and a lineup to use each week. It is designed to help you learn to be a better DFS player. It’s about teaching you the process used in selecting which players to scout and, eventually, which ones to use.
Therefore, we will begin each week with the Weekly NFL DFS Watch List which is designed to keep tabs on marquee names, chalk plays and, of course, the weekly bargains who may not see the same coverage and exposure. This piece will be continuously updated throughout the week, based on the most recent news and injuries which means you may see a name or two removed as we get closer to kick-off. You may also see a few late-week additions who pique our interest for some reason too, and by the end of the week, this Watch List will eventually become your Playbook. Again, it’s about teaching you the process.
The first week of the season is always the most difficult. While you can look back at last season’s numbers and see which teams struggled the most against the pass or the run, that data may be outdated and, in some cases, irrelevant as coaches, player personnel and schemes change so often from year-to-year. A team that struggled mightily against the run last year, for example, may have added some help on the defensive line, thus fortifying their weakness. The same can be said about a weak secondary from 2020 which changed from zone to man-to-man coverage. We’ll still be able to use some of the data, but as we’ve seen before, it takes a few weeks before we spot some of the more noticeable trends.
**Please Note: I am staying away from the Thursday night game for Watch List purposes. Week 1 is difficult enough without having to limit yourself with players locked in for Thursday's game, so this piece will strictly cover the main slate which is limited to Sunday's 1pm ET and 4pm ET games. Sometimes they sneak in the Sunday Night game, but that was only because of some rescheduling due to COVID. During the season, we will dive into some Showdown slates for both Monday and Thursday Night Football, so don't worry. We certainly won't ignore those games.
Also, keep in mind, this piece will routinely come out on Tuesdays to give you some extra time to think about your weekly plays. The holiday weekend and vacation have thrown me off a bit, so be on the look-out on Tuesday nights for this piece to start up.
Now let's get to work…